Match Info

League One - Round 44

Date: 21 April 2025, Monday

Location: Abbey Stadium (Cambridge)

Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Cambridge United		Leyton Orient

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.5	1.85	Watch
	3.3	3.5	2.05
	4	3.6	1.87	Watch
	4.18	3.67	1.92
	4.01	3.56	1.87	Watch
	3.4	3.3	2.1
	3.97	3.74	1.88	Watch
	4	3.6	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.87 ↑ (3.17)	3.56 ↑ (3.34)	1.93 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cambridge United
24.4%

Draw
26.5%

Leyton Orient
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

28.3%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

27.8%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cambridge United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cambridge United's form might have worsened.

Leyton Orient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leyton Orient's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leyton Orient, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	0%	91.7%

Cambridge United - Leyton Orient Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Cambridge will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Leyton Orient will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leyton Orient: 76.1% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Cambridge (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Leyton Orient (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stevens J. (G) 26. Gibbons J. 5. Morrison M. (C) 6. Watts K. 3. Andrew D. 4. Digby P. 28. Stevenson B. 11. Kaikai S. 22. Stokes J. 7. Brophy J. 18. Loft R.	24. Keeley J. (G) 22. Galbraith E. 19. Beckles O. (C) 45. Edmonds-Green R. 12. Currie J. 28. Clare S. 8. Brown J. 44. Markanday D. 17. Donley J. 9. Williams R. 23. Kelman C.
Substitutes
29. Ballard D. 2. Bennett L. 13. Bishop N. (G) 38. Hoddle G. 10. Kachunga E. 19. Lavery S. 15. Okedina J.	47. Abdulai A. 7. Agyei D. 15. Ball D. 6. Cooper B. 27. Jaiyesimi D. 21. O'Neill O. 26. Phillips N. (G)
Coaches
Harris N.	Wellens R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Stokes J. ⚽, Loft R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Markanday D. ↓, Agyei D. ↑,
46', Williams R. ↓, Jaiyesimi D. ↑,
64', Clare S. ↓, Abdulai A. ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Kelman C. ⚽,
70', Brophy J. 🟨,
70', Abdulai A. 🟨,
75', Andrew D. ↓, Bennett L. ↑,
75', Kaikai S. ↓, Lavery S. ↑,
78', 1 - 2, Donley J. ⚽, Currie J. (A),
81', Gibbons J. ↓, Kachunga E. ↑,
81', Digby P. ↓, Ballard D. ↑,
83', Loft R. 🟨,
85', Kelman C. ↓, Cooper B. ↑,
90', Currie J. ↓, O'Neill O. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cambridge won 2.

Recent matches Cambridge is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Leyton Orient is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Leyton Orient could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Leyton Orient will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Cambridge: Gardner G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Jobe M. (Knee Injury) Lavery S. (Inactive) Malone S. (Inactive) Marosi M. (Hamstring Injury) Smith K. (Inactive) Thomas G. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Leyton Orient: Archibald T. (Knee Injury) Graham J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Cambridge: Bishop N. (Inactive) Ibsen Rossi Z. (Inactive) N'Lundulu D. (Inactive) Okedina J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Leyton Orient: Agyei D. (Injury) O'Neill O. (Inactive)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Cambridge won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17:17 (average 1.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Cambridge won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:7 (average 1.6:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cambridge United
English League One
18.04.25	Huddersfield Town - Cambridge United	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Cambridge United - Charlton Athletic	0:1 ✺
05.04.25	Shrewsbury Town - Cambridge United	0:1 ✺
01.04.25	Cambridge United - Wrexham	2:2 ✺
29.03.25	Cambridge United - Northampton Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WLWTT
- Leyton Orient
English League One
18.04.25	Leyton Orient - Barnsley	4:3 ✺
12.04.25	Crawley Town - Leyton Orient	1:3 ✺
08.04.25	Mansfield Town - Leyton Orient	2:3 ✺
05.04.25	Leyton Orient - Wigan Athletic	0:0 ✺
01.04.25	Burton Albion - Leyton Orient	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
29.12.24	Leyton Orient - Cambridge United	2:0
01.01.24	Cambridge United - Leyton Orient	0:2
26.08.23	Leyton Orient - Cambridge United	2:0
English League Two
20.04.21	Leyton Orient - Cambridge United	2:4
26.12.20	Cambridge United - Leyton Orient	2:1
07.03.20	Leyton Orient - Cambridge United	2:1
21.12.19	Cambridge United - Leyton Orient	2:3

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