The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cambridge United 18.5%
Draw 26.8%
Wrexham 54.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.6%
25.9%
47.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.1%
25.4%
48.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cambridge United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cambridge United's form might have worsened.
Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wrexham's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cambridge United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wrexham, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10%
3.3%
86.7%
Cambridge United - Wrexham Predictions
Users Predictions:
Wrexham will win
(26 of 30 users predict this - 86.67%). Confidence interval (95%): 74.51% – 98.83%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Bishop N. (G) 2. Bennett L. 26. Gibbons J. 5. Morrison M. (C) 6. Watts K. 7. Brophy J. 22. Stokes J. 4. Digby P. 28. Stevenson B. 29. Ballard D. 18. Loft R.
1. Okonkwo A. (G) 4. Cleworth M. 5. O'Connell E. 3. Brunt L. 47. Longman R. 15. Dobson G. 37. James M. 20. Rathbone O. 7. McClean J. (C) 16. Rodriguez J. 28. Smith S.
Substitutes
36. Barton D. 38. Hoddle G. 10. Kachunga E. 33. Malone S. 34. Njoku B. 15. Okedina J. 1. Stevens J. (G)
29. Barnett R. 26. Fletcher S. 21. Howard M. (G) 38. Lee E. 11. Marriott J. 6. O'Connor T. 24. Scarr D.
Coaches
Harris N.
Parkinson P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Dobson G. ⚽,
7', Cleworth M. 🟨,
24', Bennett L. 🟨,
39', Loft R. 🟨,
40', 1 - 1, Bennett L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 2 - 1, Stokes J. (Pen),
57', 2 - 2, Smith S. ⚽, Longman R. (A),
71', Rodriguez J. ↓, Fletcher S. ↑,
72', Ballard D. ↓, Kachunga E. ↑,
77', McClean J. ↓, Barnett R. ↑,
77', Rathbone O. ↓, Lee E. ↑,
78', Brophy J. ↓, Malone S. ↑,
89', Smith S. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cambridge won 0.
Cambridge is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Wrexham is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
In this match Wrexham is a favorite.
There will not play in Cambridge: Gardner G.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Jobe M.
(Knee Injury)
Lavery S.
(Inactive)
Marosi M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Smith K.
(Inactive)
Thomas G.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Wrexham: Bolton L.
(Inactive)
Boyle W.
(Inactive)
Cannon A.
(Knee Injury)
O'Connor T.
(Inactive)
Palmer O.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Cambridge: Andrew D.
(Inactive)
Ibsen Rossi Z.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Wrexham: Burton C.
(Thigh Injury)
Last 6 head-to-head matches Cambridge won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:8 (average 0.7:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Cambridge won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.3:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Wrexham - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 47.52%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
United-kingdom
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Bishop N. (G) 
Cleworth M. 
O'Connell E. 
Kachunga E. 
Okedina J. 
Fletcher S. 
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