The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Burton Albion 33.7%
Draw 27.6%
Leyton Orient 38.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.5%
27.7%
34.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.1%
27.3%
34.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
Leyton Orient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
50%
25%
Burton Albion - Leyton Orient Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Burton will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Leyton Orient will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
34. Addai C. (G) 6. Sibbick T. 16. Tilt C. (C) 20. Sraha J. 17. Borges Rodrigues R. 14. Collar W. 4. Chauke K. 24. Araujo H. 18. Vickers C. 8. Webster C. 10. O'Mahony M.
1. Baxter N. (G) 2. Stevens F. 6. Forrester W. 12. Gilchrist A. 14. Hayden I. (C) 20. Gilbert A. 8. El Mizouni I. 3. Morris J. 25. Wellens C. 9. Kabia J. 18. Scarlett D.
Substitutes
23. Adiele E. 29. Adom K. 9. Arubi G. 19. Dennis M. 32. Kean J. (G) 40. Scutt Z.
22. Akhamrich Y. 34. Chinedu P. 10. Connolly A. 17. Dobra A. 7. O'Neill O. 13. Phillips N. (G) 27. Springett T.
Coaches
Bowyer G.
Wellens R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
33', O'Mahony M. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Gilbert A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 1 - 1, Chauke K. ⚽, Vickers C. (A),
58', O'Mahony M. ↓, Arubi G. ↑,
63', Morris J. ↓, Chinedu P. ↑,
64', Scarlett D. ↓, Connolly A. ↑,
73', Hayden I. ↓, Dobra A. ↑,
77', Araujo H. ↓, Adiele E. ↑,
80', Kabia J. ↓, O'Neill O. ↑,
86', 2 - 1, Collar W. ⚽, Vickers C. (A),
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 14th and 12th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burton won 2.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Leyton Orient may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Confirmed absences for Burton: Krubally S.
(Yellow Cards)
Lewis J.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Leyton Orient: Boniface S.
(Knee Injury)
Dovin O.
(Shoulder Injury)
Edmonds-Green R.
(Knee Injury)
O'Neill O.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Burton: Delap F.
(Inactive)
Lofthouse K.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Leyton Orient: Mitchell D.
(Muscle Injury).
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Burton has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:8 (averaging 1:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Burton against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 2:5 goals (averaging 0.7:1.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
12
Burton
13
4
5
4
18:19
-1
17
16
Leyton Orient
12
4
2
6
16:14
2
14
Outrights of English League One for now
Leyton Orient: 0.81% Burton: 0.58%
Last Results with these Odds
Leyton Orient - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 34.74%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.