Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 9

Date: 1 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: Abbey Stadium (Cambridge)

Referee: Drysdale D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Cambridge United		Rotherham United

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.4	1.95
	3.5	3.4	2.05
	3.5	3.5	2.05
	3.81	3.6	2.06
	3.68	3.47	1.98	Watch
	3.7	3.4	2.05
	3.7	3.52	2.01	Watch
	3.5	3.5	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↑ (3.14)	3.47 ↑ (3.4)	2.03 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cambridge United
26%

Draw
27.2%

Rotherham United
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

27.9%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

27.3%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cambridge United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Rotherham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	21.4%	71.4%

Cambridge United - Rotherham United Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Cambridge will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Rotherham will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rotherham: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Reyes V. (G) 15. Okedina J. 5. Morrison M. (C) 3. Andrew D. 2. Bennett L. 4. Digby P. 14. Smith K. 26. Gibbons J. 7. Brophy J. 34. Njoku B. 9. N'Lundulu D.	1. Dawson C. (G) 2. Rafferty J. 24. Humphreys C. 30. McCart J. 6. James R. 21. Hungbo J. 17. McWilliams S. 7. Powell J. 3. Bramall C. 12. Wilks M. 9. Clarke-Harris J. (C)
Substitutes
24. Cousins J. 16. Ibsen Rossi Z. 10. Kachunga E. 18. Loft R. 29. O'Riordan C. 1. Stevens J. (G)	23. Holmes J. 10. Hugill J. 16. Jules Z. 14. MacDonald A. 8. Nombe S. 20. Phillips D. (G) 27. Tiehi C.
Coaches
Monk G.	Evans S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Digby P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', Brophy J. 🟨,
76', N'Lundulu D. 🟨,
79', Njoku B. ↓, Kachunga E. ↑,
80', N'Lundulu D. ↓, Loft R. ↑,
81', McWilliams S. ↓, Tiehi C. ↑,
81', Hungbo J. ↓, Nombe S. ↑,
87', Clarke-Harris J. ↓, Hugill J. ↑,
87', Wilks M. ↓, Holmes J. ↑,
90+2', 0 - 1, Nombe S. ⚽,
90+4', Hugill J. 🟨,
90+4', Loft R. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 19).

Cambridge has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Rotherham is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rotherham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Rotherham will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Rotherham to win the game is with odds 2.02.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Cambridge won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2:7 (average 0.5:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Cambridge won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cambridge United
English League One
28.09.24	Cambridge United - Lincoln City	0:2 ✺
21.09.24	Wycombe Wanderers - Cambridge United	2:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
17.09.24	Cambridge United - Charlton Athletic	1:2 ✺
English League One
14.09.24	Mansfield Town - Cambridge United	2:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
03.09.24	Bromley - Cambridge United	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Rotherham United
English League One
28.09.24	Shrewsbury Town - Rotherham United	1:1 ✺
21.09.24	Rotherham United - Birmingham City	0:2 ✺
14.09.24	Rotherham United - Burton Albion	2:2 ✺
07.09.24	Charlton Athletic - Rotherham United	1:1 ✺
31.08.24	Rotherham United - Huddersfield Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
25.01.22	Rotherham United - Cambridge United	2:1 penalties
English League One
18.12.21	Cambridge United - Rotherham United	0:1
20.11.21	Rotherham United - Cambridge United	3:1
English League Cup
11.08.15	Rotherham United - Cambridge United	1:0

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