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Current Win Probability
Cambridge United 26.9%
Draw 28.5%
Lincoln City 44.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33%
28.4%
38.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.1%
28.5%
38.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cambridge United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cambridge United's form might have worsened.
Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lincoln City's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cambridge United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lincoln City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10%
20%
70%
Cambridge United - Lincoln City Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Cambridge will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Lincoln will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Lincoln: 41.6% – 98.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
27. Reyes V. (G) 15. Okedina J. 5. Morrison M. 3. Andrew D. 26. Gibbons J. 4. Digby P. 14. Smith K. 45. Emmanuel M. L. 7. Brophy J. 34. Njoku B. 9. N'Lundulu D.
1. Wickens G. (G) 5. Jackson A. 15. O'Connor P. 23. Roughan S. 6. Erhahon E. 2. Darikwa T. 14. McGrandles C. 28. Moylan J. 12. Ring E. 18. House B. 27. Makama J.
Substitutes
36. Barton D. 2. Bennett L. 24. Cousins J. 16. Ibsen Rossi Z. 10. Kachunga E. 11. Kaikai S. 18. Loft R.
8. Bayliss T. 9. Cadamarteri B. 34. Draper F. 22. Hamer T. 10. McKiernan J. J. 21. Pardington J. (G) 29. Street R.
Coaches
Monk G.
Skubala M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
6', House B. ↓, Draper F. ↑,
26', 0 - 1, Draper F. ⚽, Darikwa T. (A),
37', Makama J. 🟨,
38', N'Lundulu D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Makama J. ↓, Cadamarteri B. ↑,
65', Moylan J. ↓, Bayliss T. ↑,
65', Ring E. ↓, Hamer T. ↑,
65', Brophy J. ↓, Kaikai S. ↑,
66', Gibbons J. ↓, Barton D. ↑,
68', 0 - 2, Cadamarteri B. ⚽, Jackson A. (A),
71', Cadamarteri B. 🟨,
73', Njoku B. ↓, Loft R. ↑,
80', Emmanuel M. L. ↓, Kachunga E. ↑,
80', Draper F. ↓, McKiernan J. J. ↑,
87', Jackson A. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 7).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cambridge won 2.
Cambridge has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Lincoln is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Cambridge could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Cambridge have a series of guest games.
Lincoln will have a mini benefit in this match.
Our prediction for today's Lincoln to win the game is with odds 2.19.
Last 15 head-to-head matches Cambridge won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 7-18.
Including matches at home between the teams Cambridge won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-10.
Watch
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Reyes V. (G) 
Okedina J. 
Morrison M. 
O'Connor P. 
Erhahon E. 
Darikwa T. 
Ring E. 
Cousins J. 
Kachunga E. 
Kaikai S. 
McKiernan J. J. 
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