Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 7

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Aesseal New York Stadium (Rotherham)

Referee: Duckworth E. (Eng)


	Rotherham United		Birmingham City

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.6	2.1
	3.2	3.4	2.1
	3.2	3.5	2.15
	3.26	3.64	2.19
	3.21	3.52	2.13	Watch
	3.3	3.5	2.15
	3.29	3.46	2.18	Watch
	3.25	3.55	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↓ (3.41)	3.52 ↑ (3.45)	2.13 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rotherham United
29.1%

Draw
26.7%

Birmingham City
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

27.4%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

27.6%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rotherham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	10%	90%

Rotherham United - Birmingham City Predictions

Users Predictions: Birmingham City will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
9. Clarke-Harris J. (C)	20. Cochrane A.
24. Humphreys C.	25. Davies B.
6. James R.	17. Dykes L.
30. McCart J.	19. Gardner-Hickman T.
8. Nombe S.	7. Hansson E.
22. Odoffin H.	24. Iwata T.
20. Phillips D. (G)	4. Klarer C. (C)
2. Rafferty J.	13. Paik Seung-Ho
5. Raggett S.	45. Peacock-Farrell B. (G)
27. Tiehi C.	28. Stansfield J.
12. Wilks M.	18. Willumsson W. T.
Substitutes
3. Bramall C.	21. Allsop R. (G)
1. Dawson C. (G)	14. Anderson K.
23. Holmes J.	12. Leonard M.
10. Hugill J.	9. May A.
21. Hungbo J.	23. Sampsted A.
14. MacDonald A.	11. Wright S.
7. Powell J.	33. Yokoyama A.
Coaches
. Evans S.	. Davies C.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rotherham won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Birmingham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Birmingham have a series of home games.

Birmingham will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Rotherham won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 11-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Rotherham won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rotherham United
English League One
14.09.24	Rotherham United - Burton Albion	2:2 ✺
07.09.24	Charlton Athletic - Rotherham United	1:1 ✺
31.08.24	Rotherham United - Huddersfield Town	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
27.08.24	Fleetwood Town - Rotherham United	2:1 ✺
English League One
24.08.24	Wycombe Wanderers - Rotherham United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TTWLL
- Birmingham City
English League One
16.09.24	Birmingham City - Wrexham	3:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
03.09.24	Birmingham City - Walsall	1:2 penalties ✺
English League One
31.08.24	Birmingham City - Wigan Athletic	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
27.08.24	Birmingham City - Fulham	0:2 ✺
English League One
24.08.24	Leyton Orient - Birmingham City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
20.04.24	Rotherham United - Birmingham City	0:0
02.12.23	Birmingham City - Rotherham United	0:0
11.03.23	Birmingham City - Rotherham United	2:0
27.08.22	Rotherham United - Birmingham City	2:0
18.04.21	Rotherham United - Birmingham City	0:1
26.09.20	Birmingham City - Rotherham United	1:1
22.04.19	Rotherham United - Birmingham City	1:3

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