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Current Win Probability
Rotherham United 42.9%
Draw 27.2%
Burton Albion 29.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.4%
25.1%
29.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47%
26%
28.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rotherham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
92.3%
7.7%
0%
Rotherham United - Burton Albion Predictions
Users Predictions:
Rotherham United will win
(12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%). Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rotherham United will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Dawson C. (C) 2. Rafferty J. 26. Douglas H. 6. James R. 22. Hall D. 17. McWilliams S. 8. Spence K. 44. Gore D. 7. Powell J. 11. Martha A. 10. Nombe S.
24. Collins B. (G) 2. Godwin-Malife U. (C) 6. Sibbick T. 16. Hartridge A. 15. Lofthouse K. 4. Chauke K. 12. Evans G. 8. Webster C. 3. Armer J. 9. Beesley J. 10. Shade T.
Substitutes
18. Agbaire L. 19. Benson J. 13. Cann T. (G) 39. Duncan H. 9. Hugill J. 20. Sherif M. 16. Yearwood D.
14. Akoto N. 27. Dudek K. (G) 41. Krubally S. 18. Moon J. 38. Newall J. 39. Taroni J. 11. Tavares F.
Coaches
Hamshaw M.
Bowyer G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', McWilliams S. ↓, Sherif M. ↑,
51', 0 - 1, Lofthouse K. ⚽, Webster C. (A),
63', 0 - 2, Shade T. ⚽,
69', 1 - 2, Sibbick T. (Own goal),
69', Lofthouse K. 🟨,
71', Hall D. ↓, Benson J. ↑,
76', Shade T. 🟨,
83', Shade T. ↓, Tavares F. ↑,
84', Collins B. 🟨,
90+2', James R. ↓, Hugill J. ↑,
90+3', Webster C. ↓, Moon J. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 2, Douglas H. ⚽, Benson J. (A),
90+6', Spence K. ↓, Agbaire L. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rotherham won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Rotherham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Rotherham has had a series of away games.
Recently, Burton has had a series of home games.
Rotherham could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Rotherham: Benson J.
(Injury)
Etete K.
(Injury)
Hatton B.
(Hamstring Injury)
Kayode J.
(Knee Injury)
Nombe S.
(Injury)
Spence K.
(Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in Burton: Bajrami G.
(Knee Injury)
Hazlehurst J.
(Ankle Injury)
Jones J.
(Foot Injury)
Vancooten T.
(Leg Injury)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Rotherham won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.2:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Rotherham won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.8:1.4).
Last Results with these Odds
Burton Albion - the odds 2.99 are the expected chance of winning is 29.58%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.