Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 6

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Kooi Stadion (Leeuwarden)

Referee: Nijhuis B. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+


	Cambuur		Willem II

	1	X	2
	1.68	4.1	4.33	Watch
	1.8	3.6	3.75
	1.68	3.95	4.45
	1.72	4.16	4.46
	3.65	1.45	9.36	Watch
	1.7	4.04	4.27	Watch
	1.78	3.9	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.77)	3.6 ↓ (3.9)	4.92 ↑ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cambuur
51%

Draw
28.3%

Willem II
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

23.7%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

23.2%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cambuur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambuur than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	36.4%	27.3%

Cambuur - Willem II Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Cambuur will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Willem II will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cambuur: 8% – 64.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cambuur (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jansen T. (G) 16. Mulders R. 4. Baouf I. 6. Amofa J. 22. Galvez T. 7. Balk R. 20. Visser D. 10. Diemers M. (C) 26. Ferrah I. 18. Rolke T. 11. Sjostrand O.	1. Didillon T. (G) 14. Mathijsen J. 30. Behounek R. 4. Hoogma J. 2. Ciranni A. 19. van Aalst U. 6. Besselink G. 8. Culum A. 7. Doodeman N. 9. Haen D. 17. Bamba S.
Substitutes
3. Berkhout J. 19. Henstra I. 2. Jermoumi D. 31. Kalisvaart M. 27. Kooistra W. 25. Marsman B. 21. Meijster J. (G) 8. Souren N. 14. van der Sande J. 30. van der Veen Y. 40. Veldhuis S. 9. Visser K.	47. Baartmans S. 31. de Leeuw K. (G) 43. de Ruijter F. 23. de Waal M. 20. El Allouchi M. 48. Poortvliet J. 41. van der Linden B. (G) 22. van Loon P. 28. Verheydt T. 18. Zarrouk A.
Coaches
de Jong H.	Stegeman J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Baouf I. (Own goal),
27', Mathijsen J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Mathijsen J. ↓, de Ruijter F. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Ferrah I. ⚽, Mulders R. (A),
55', Haen D. 🟨,
68', Rolke T. ↓, van der Sande J. ↑,
74', Ferrah I. ↓, Souren N. ↑,
75', Culum A. ↓, Verheydt T. ↑,
75', Bamba S. ↓, El Allouchi M. ↑,
82', Sjostrand O. ↓, Kooistra W. ↑,
83', 1 - 2, de Ruijter F. ⚽, Haen D. (A),
84', Balk R. ↓, Visser K. ↑,
90', 2 - 2, Visser K. ⚽, van der Sande J. (A),
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cambuur won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Willem II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cambuur is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Willem II: Ciranni A. (Inactive) Lachkar A. (Groin Injury) van Berkel N. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Cambuur: Amofa J. (Injury) Sjostrand O. (Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Cambuur won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Cambuur won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leeuwarden Cambuur
Dutch Eerste Divisie
31.08.25	Cambuur - VVV-Venlo	3:1 ✺
25.08.25	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Cambuur	0:1 ✺
15.08.25	Cambuur - FC Oss	1:0 ✺
08.08.25	Dordrecht - Cambuur	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Cambuur - Telstar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWLL
- Willem II
Dutch Eerste Divisie
29.08.25	Willem II - Jong Utrecht	2:1 ✺
22.08.25	Almere City - Willem II	0:1 ✺
17.08.25	Willem II - FC Eindhoven	0:1 ✺
10.08.25	ADO Den Haag - Willem II	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Eupen - Willem II	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
02.02.24	Willem II - Cambuur	1:1
17.09.23	Cambuur - Willem II	1:0
Dutch Eredivisie
11.05.22	Cambuur - Willem II	1:1
Club Friendly
07.01.22	Willem II - Cambuur	Canceled
Dutch Eredivisie
10.12.21	Willem II - Cambuur	1:3
21.04.16	Cambuur - Willem II	1:1
06.12.15	Willem II - Cambuur	3:0

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