Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO NORDESTE - ROUND 3

Date: 14 February 2023, Tuesday


	Campinense		CRB Maceio

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.75	3.1	1.95
	4.2	2.9	1.9
	3.89	2.97	2.07
	3.7	2.9	2.05
	4.25	2.96	1.95	Watch
	3.6	3.05	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.9 ↑ (3.25)	2.98 ↑ (2.67)	1.99 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Campinense
23.4%

Draw
30.7%

CRB Maceio
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

33.8%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

33.6%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Campinense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

CRB Maceio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting CRB Maceio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Campinense than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for CRB Maceio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Campinense - CRB Maceio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs)).

Recent matches Campinense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

CRB is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match CRB is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Campinense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Campinense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Campinense Clube
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
08.02.23	Campinense - Nacional de Patos	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
05.02.23	Campinense - Sport Recife	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
01.02.23	Centro Sportivo Paraibano - Campinense	1:1 ✺
28.01.23	Campinense - Serra Branca	0:0 ✺
25.01.23	Sousa - Campinense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLTTW
- CRB Maceio
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
09.02.23	CRB Maceio - Clube Sociedade Esportiva	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
04.02.23	Náutico Capibaribe - CRB Maceio	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
31.01.23	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - CRB Maceio	1:2 ✺
28.01.23	CRB Maceio - CS Alagoano	3:1 ✺
25.01.23	CRB Maceio - Coruripe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
09.02.22	Campinense - CRB Maceio	1:1
01.05.18	CRB Maceio - Campinense	3:1
05.03.15	Campinense - CRB Maceio	3:2
19.02.15	CRB Maceio - Campinense	1:0

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