The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Náutico Capibaribe 33.5%
Draw 31.5%
CRB Maceio 34.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38%
31.1%
30.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.9%
30.2%
31.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
CRB Maceio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Náutico Capibaribe - CRB Maceio Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Vagner (G) 2. Arnaldo 17. Cleo Silva 36. Diego Matos 43. Guilherme Matos 6. Luiz Paulo 8. Marco Antonio 20. Patrick Allan 9. Paulo Sergio 4. Rafael Vaz 25. Sousa
12. Matheus Albino (G) 9. Anselmo Ramon (C) 3. Fabio Alemao 98. Falcao 8. Gege 32. Hereda 38. Leo Pereira 7. Mike 17. Romulo 4. Saimon 13. Willian Formiga
Substitutes
18. Danilo Belao 35. de Sousa Oliveira T. 10. Evandro 11. Fernandinho 22. Jeferson Romario (G) 3. Joecio 27. Kaua Maranhao 28. Luan 33. Marcos Junior 96. Matheus Santos 77. Vanegas R. 26. Wendel Lessa
16. Alejandro 6. Cesar C. 30. Facu Labandeira 26. Gustavo Henrique 34. Heron 35. Joao Neto 33. Joao Pedro 2. Matheus Ribeiro 11. Santana E. 1. Vitor Caetano (G) 19. Welder
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
30', Guilherme Matos ↓, Vanegas R. ↑,
35', Paulo Sergio 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 1, Gege ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Patrick Allan ↓, Marcos Junior ↑,
51', Willian Formiga ↓, Matheus Ribeiro ↑,
57', 1 - 1, Paulo Sergio ⚽,
65', Mike ↓, Facu Labandeira ↑,
66', Romulo ↓, Cesar C. ↑,
69', Marco Antonio 🟨,
71', Cleo Silva ↓, Kaua Maranhao ↑,
82', Vanegas R. ↓, de Sousa Oliveira T. ↑,
82', Marco Antonio ↓, Wendel Lessa ↑,
83', Leo Pereira ↓, Welder ↑,
83', Falcao ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
86', Hereda 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Náutico won 2.
Náutico is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
CRB in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
CRB could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Last 15 head-to-head matches Náutico won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 19-23.
Including matches at home between the teams Náutico won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-12.
Watch
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Vagner (G) 
Vanegas R. 
Alejandro 
Facu Labandeira 
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