Match Info

Paraibano - Round 3

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday


	Esporte de Patos		Serra Branca

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.5	1.75
	3.9	3.3	1.8
	4.32	3.21	1.77
	4.18	3.42	1.78	Watch
	4	3.3	1.75
	4.4	3.2	1.78
	4.2	3.2	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.11 ↑ (3.53)	3.3 ↓ (3.64)	1.78 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Esporte de Patos
21.9%

Draw
27.3%

Serra Branca
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

24.7%

49.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esporte de Patos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Serra Branca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Esporte de Patos - Serra Branca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Luiz Miller (G) 3. Artur Potiguar 9. Edson Kapa 6. Eduardo Matuto 8. Gustavo Henrique (C) 4. Joao Marcelo 10. Juniel 2. Lazaro 5. Madson 11. Mano Walter 7. Matheus Guara	1. Bruno Fuso (G) 23. Bruno 8. Gustavo 2. Igor 3. Jadson 9. Jefferson Victor 5. Junior Dinde 13. Luiz 11. Maicon 10. Marcelo Toscano 7. Venicio
Substitutes
17. Capixaba 13. Carlinhos 20. Gabigol 16. Gabriel Rocha 21. Guilherme 14. Marcelo Barbosa 19. Marquinhos 15. Matheus Lima 12. Pontes Y. (G) 18. Rafael	12. Allan (G) 15. Bedeu 22. Bilao 18. Charles 20. David Peninha 19. Diego Ceara 14. do Nascimento Sousa J. K. 6. Franca 30. Gleibson (G) 21. Pedro Vitor B. d. S. 17. Sousa Tibiri

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Marcelo Toscano ⚽,
45+3', Matheus Guara 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Juniel ↓, Gabigol ↑,
56', Mano Walter ↓, Carlinhos ↑,
57', Maicon ↓, Bilao ↑,
61', 0 - 2, Gustavo ⚽,
62', Marcelo Toscano ↓, Diego Ceara ↑,
62', Gustavo ↓, Sousa Tibiri ↑,
79', Lazaro ↓, Guilherme ↑,
80', Madson ↓, Gabriel Rocha ↑,
82', Jefferson Victor 🟨,
85', Jefferson Victor ↓, Pedro Vitor B. d. S. ↑,
85', Venicio ↓, Charles ↑,
90', 🟨,
90+4', Gabriel Rocha 🟨,
90+7', Joao Marcelo 🟨,

Preview

Serra Branca is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Serra Branca has had a series of home games.

In this match, Serra Branca is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Esporte de Patos won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Including home match between the teams, Esporte de Patos won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esporte Clube de Patos
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
21.01.26	Atlético Cajazeirense de Desportos - Esporte de Patos	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	Botafogo PB - Esporte de Patos	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
17.12.25	Potiguar - Esporte de Patos	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
19.02.25	Picuiense - Esporte de Patos	0:5 ✺
15.02.25	Esporte de Patos - Campinense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTLWL
- Serra Branca EC
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
21.01.26	Serra Branca - Sousa	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Serra Branca - Treze	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
30.12.25	Serra Branca - Jaguar	1:1 ✺
23.12.25	Serra Branca - Maguary	2:1 ✺
18.12.25	Serra Branca - América RN	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
09.02.25	Esporte de Patos - Serra Branca	0:2

Esporte de Patos - Serra Branca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide