Match Info

Carioca B1 - Round 8

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday


	Campo Grande		Niteroiense

	1	X	2
	2.62	2.92	2.58
	2.63	2.84	2.59
	2.63	2.89	2.61
	1.85	3.3	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (1.82)	2.99 ↓ (3.5)	2.92 ↓ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Campo Grande
37.8%

Draw
30.8%

Niteroiense
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

26.2%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

25.2%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Campo Grande has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Campo Grande's form might have worsened.

Niteroiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Niteroiense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Campo Grande than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Campo Grande, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niteroiense than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Niteroiense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Campo Grande - Niteroiense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
69', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca B1 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 9).

Recent performances by Campo Grande have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Niteroiense's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Campo Grande is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Campo Grande won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Campo Grande AC
Brazilian Carioca B1
11.10.25	Campo Grande - Friburguense	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Duque de Caxias - Campo Grande	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	São Cristóvão - Campo Grande	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Campo Grande - Bonsucesso	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Artsul - Campo Grande	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TTTTW
- Niteroiense FC
Brazilian Carioca B1
18.10.25	Niteroiense - Bonsucesso	2:3 ✺
10.10.25	Artsul - Niteroiense	2:2 ✺
04.10.25	Niteroiense - Serrano FC	1:3 ✺
27.09.25	Petrópolis - Niteroiense	2:3 ✺
20.09.25	Niteroiense - Carapebus Campos	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Carioca B2
29.09.24	Niteroiense - Campo Grande	1:0

Campo Grande - Niteroiense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide