The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Campo Grande 24.9%
Draw 30.4%
Niteroiense 44.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
24.4%
28.3%
47.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.9%
26.6%
50.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Campo Grande has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Niteroiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Campo Grande than the current prediction. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niteroiense than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Niteroiense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Campo Grande - Niteroiense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
45+3', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 2 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 8th and 1st in the Promotion - Carioca B1 Playoffs - Semi - finals).
Recent results have been tough for Campo Grande (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Niteroiense is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Niteroiense could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Niteroiense is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Campo Grande has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2 (averaging 0.5:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Campo Grande against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.