The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Carapebus Campos 15%
Draw 24.3%
Niteroiense 60.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
15.1%
25.1%
59.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
14.7%
24.5%
60.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carapebus Campos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Niteroiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carapebus Campos than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
The ML Model estimate for Niteroiense aligns with the current prediction.
Carapebus Campos - Niteroiense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
#ad
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45+2', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 0 - 3, ⚽,
61', 1 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 11th in the Relegation - Carioca B2 and 1st in the Promotion - Carioca B1 Playoffs - Semi - finals).
Carapebus has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Niteroiense is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Carapebus could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, Niteroiense is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Carapebus has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:0 (averaging 3:0 goals per game).