The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atletico Ascoli 43.1%
Draw 29.9%
Notaresco 27%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.5%
27.7%
31.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.8%
26.2%
30.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atletico Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Notaresco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atletico Ascoli than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notaresco than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Atletico Ascoli - Notaresco Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )).
Atletico Ascoli has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Notaresco is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Atletico Ascoli could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Atletico Ascoli won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Atletico Ascoli won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Notaresco Calcio
6
2
2
2
6:6
0
8
14
Atletico Ascoli
6
2
1
3
6:8
-2
7
Last Results with these Odds
Notaresco - the odds 2.86 are the expected chance of winning is 31.78%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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