Match Info

Date: 16 May 2021, Sunday


	Campobasso		Tolentino

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.5	8
	1.52	3.75	5.4
	1.51	3.68	5.34
	1.62	3.4	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.31)	3.83 ↓ (4.39)	6.09 ↓ (7.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Campobasso
61.3%

Draw
23.8%

Tolentino
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

20.3%

11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

79.5%

17.3%

10.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Campobasso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Campobasso's form might have worsened.

Tolentino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Campobasso than the current prediction. (+18.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Campobasso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tolentino than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Campobasso - Tolentino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A).

Campobasso is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Tolentino is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Campobasso could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Campobasso is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Campobasso to win the game is with odds 1.49.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Campobasso won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Campobasso won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Campobasso
Italian Serie D - Group F
09.05.21	Recanatese - Campobasso	0:0 ✺
02.05.21	Campobasso - Pineto	2:1 ✺
18.04.21	Campobasso - Vastese	0:0 ✺
11.04.21	Campobasso - Castelnuovo Vomano	4:0 ✺
01.04.21	Notaresco - Campobasso	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWTWW
- US Tolentino
Italian Serie D - Group F
09.05.21	Tolentino - Matese	2:2 ✺
18.04.21	Montegiorgio - Tolentino	2:1 ✺
14.04.21	Tolentino - Castelfidardo	1:1 ✺
01.04.21	Tolentino - Aprilia	2:2 ✺
28.03.21	Pineto - Tolentino	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
17.02.21	Tolentino - Campobasso	4:0
19.01.20	Campobasso - Tolentino	4:0

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