Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 31

Date: 17 April 2025, Thursday


	Mercadal		Poblense

	1	X	2
	6.25	3.8	1.44
	6.6	3.85	1.45
	6.89	3.92	1.46
	6.7	4.15	1.41
	6.6	3.85	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.61 ↓ (6.77)	3.91 ↑ (3.86)	1.44 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mercadal
13.8%

Draw
23.2%

Poblense
63%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.5%

23.6%

62.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.3%

23.2%

63.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mercadal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Poblense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mercadal than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poblense than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Mercadal - Poblense Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mercadal won 1.

Mercadal has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Poblense in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Mercadal have a series of guest games.

In this match Poblense is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Poblense to win the game is with odds 1.45.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Mercadal won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 3:20 (average 0.4:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Mercadal won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:11 (average 0.5:2.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CE Mercadal
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
12.04.25	Collerense - Mercadal	3:1 ✺
05.04.25	Llosetense - Mercadal	3:1 ✺
23.03.25	Platges de Calvià - Mercadal	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Mercadal - Constancia	0:1 ✺
09.03.25	Porreres - Mercadal	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- UD Poblense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
12.04.25	Poblense - Penya Independent	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Platges de Calvià - Poblense	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Constancia - Poblense	0:3 ✺
23.03.25	Porreres - Poblense	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	Poblense - Binissalem	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
07.12.24	Poblense - Mercadal	1:1
01.03.24	Mercadal - Poblense	1:0
08.04.23	Mercadal - Poblense	0:3
10.12.22	Poblense - Mercadal	3:0
17.04.22	Poblense - Mercadal	3:0
18.12.21	Mercadal - Poblense	1:3
01.05.19	Poblense - Mercadal	2:0

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