The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Canelas 45.8%
Draw 27.3%
Montalegre 27%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52%
26.8%
21.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54%
25.8%
20.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Canelas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Canelas's form might have worsened.
Montalegre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Montalegre's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canelas than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Canelas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montalegre than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Montalegre, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group) and 12 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group)).
One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.
Canelas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Canelas will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Canelas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Canelas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.