Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 3

Date: 15 April 2023, Saturday


	Montalegre		São João de Ver

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.2	2.05
	3.49	3.36	2.17
	3.25	3.36	2.08	Watch
	3.05	3.3	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (2.69)	3.31 ↑ (3.09)	2.11 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montalegre
28.5%

Draw
27.8%

São João de Ver
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

29.8%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

28.5%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montalegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montalegre's form might have worsened.

São João de Ver has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting São João de Ver's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montalegre than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montalegre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São João de Ver than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for São João de Ver, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Montalegre won 1.

Montalegre is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches São João de Ver is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

São João de Ver will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Montalegre won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Montalegre won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDC Montalegre
Portuguese Liga 3
07.04.23	Varzim - Montalegre	0:1 ✺
01.04.23	Montalegre - Fafe	0:1 ✺
12.03.23	Fafe - Montalegre	2:1 ✺
04.03.23	Montalegre - Braga B	2:2 ✺
26.02.23	Paredes - Montalegre	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLLTL
- São João de Ver
Portuguese Liga 3
07.04.23	São João de Ver - Fafe	1:2 ✺
01.04.23	São João de Ver - Varzim	2:1 ✺
12.03.23	Braga B - São João de Ver	1:0 ✺
04.03.23	São João de Ver - Paredes	1:1 ✺
26.02.23	Canelas - São João de Ver	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
28.01.23	São João de Ver - Montalegre	2:0
Taça de Portugal
16.10.22	Montalegre - São João de Ver	1:3
Portuguese Liga 3
09.10.22	Montalegre - São João de Ver	2:2
30.04.22	São João de Ver - Montalegre	2:2
10.04.22	Montalegre - São João de Ver	3:2
12.02.22	São João de Ver - Montalegre	1:1
06.11.21	Montalegre - São João de Ver	0:1

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