Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 2

Date: 7 April 2023, Friday

Location: Estádio do Varzim SC (Póvoa de Varzim)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Varzim		Montalegre

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.9	4.8
	1.53	3.75	5.5
	1.58	4.12	5.73
	1.57	3.88	5.2	Watch
	1.51	3.95	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.59)	3.92 ↑ (3.4)	5.33 ↓ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varzim
59.4%

Draw
23.4%

Montalegre
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

26.7%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

25.5%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Montalegre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montalegre than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

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Preview

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Recently Varzim have a series of guest games.

In this match Varzim is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Varzim won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Varzim won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varzim SC
Portuguese Liga 3
01.04.23	São João de Ver - Varzim	2:1 ✺
12.03.23	Paredes - Varzim	1:0 ✺
05.03.23	Varzim - Canelas	1:1 ✺
25.02.23	Vilaverdense - Varzim	0:0 ✺
19.02.23	Vitoria Guimarães B - Varzim	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLTTL
- CDC Montalegre
Portuguese Liga 3
01.04.23	Montalegre - Fafe	0:1 ✺
12.03.23	Fafe - Montalegre	2:1 ✺
04.03.23	Montalegre - Braga B	2:2 ✺
26.02.23	Paredes - Montalegre	2:1 ✺
18.02.23	Montalegre - Canelas	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
04.02.23	Montalegre - Varzim	1:2
22.10.22	Varzim - Montalegre	2:1

Varzim - Montalegre: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide