Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 5

Date: 16 March 2024, Saturday


	Canelas		Trofense

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.1	2.25	Watch
	2.85	3.1	2.35
	3.13	3.37	2.34
	3.13	3.37	2.34
	3	3.14	2.25
	2.85	3.2	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.51)	3.21 ↑ (3.09)	2.29 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Canelas
31.2%

Draw
28.7%

Trofense
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

30.3%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

30.7%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canelas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Canelas's form might have worsened.

Trofense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Trofense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canelas than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Canelas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Trofense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matos J. (G) 3. Bastos V. 30. Santos D. M. 2. Lixa G. 49. Silva J. 6. Luan 14. Doukoure H. 13. dos Santos Simao L. P. 81. Rodrigues Mendes Teixeira J. D. 28. Tank A. 11. Sousa A.	13. Silva N. (C) 4. Semeu 26. Marques L. 30. Santos W. 29. Joel 14. Assis Cardoso R. H. 50. Sousa X. 8. Berna 7. Carlos Daniel 9. Paciencia V. 70. Wilson
Substitutes
4. Carvalho A. 24. Dani 23. Emanuel 88. Leite R. 98. Lourenco O. 80. Miguel B. (G) 18. Osemene O. 20. Ribeiro F. 10. Sousa C.	33. Andre Rosa 54. Antunes T. 84. Ayiah E. 18. Diagne O. 24. Edu 1. Ferreira L. (G) 79. Santos S. 10. Valente N.

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Canelas won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Canelas won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Canelas 2010
Portuguese Liga 3
09.03.24	Canelas - Vianense	1:3 ✺
03.03.24	Sanjoanense - Canelas	1:1 ✺
25.02.24	Canelas - Anadia	2:0 ✺
17.02.24	Fafe - Canelas	2:1 ✺
28.01.24	Fafe - Canelas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTWLT
- CD Trofense
Portuguese Liga 3
09.03.24	Trofense - Anadia	0:0 ✺
03.03.24	Vianense - Trofense	1:1 ✺
24.02.24	Trofense - Fafe	1:3 ✺
17.02.24	Sanjoanense - Trofense	0:3 ✺
28.01.24	Trofense - Anadia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
21.01.24	Canelas - Trofense	1:0
07.10.23	Trofense - Canelas	1:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
14.12.19	Canelas - Trofense	2:1
11.03.18	Trofense - Canelas	1:1

Canelas - Trofense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide