Match Info

Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 10

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal Engenheiro Sílvio Henriques Cerveira (Anadia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Anadia		Sanjoanense

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.7	4.75
	1.6	3.75	4.8
	1.64	4.01	5.01
	1.64	3.92	5.01	Watch
	1.6	3.72	4.87
	1.6	3.75	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.83)	3.81 ↑ (3.56)	4.87 ↑ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anadia
57%

Draw
24.1%

Sanjoanense
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

25.8%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

26.1%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anadia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Anadia's performance.

Sanjoanense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sanjoanense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anadia than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Anadia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanjoanense than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Anadia - Sanjoanense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
64. Martins T. (G) 5. Nuca 2. Coelho V. 22. Ca J. 17. Conceicao M. 23. Sinisterra J. 80. Zimbabwe 10. Carvalho D. 8. Erivaldo (C) 18. Cuba 7. Tipote L.	1. Marco (G) 12. Vitinha (C) 3. Loureiro F. 33. Dario 5. Santos R. 42. Vitor Pisco 11. Jota 16. Matos P. 17. Kusso D. 70. Kiko Felix 7. Fonseca R.
Substitutes
70. Castro J. 26. Gaio P. 1. Gama M. (G) 15. Lucas J. 16. Mendes C. 91. Patrick 11. Teles D. 71. Terpugov N. 20. Vilela M.	25. Couto J. 6. Daniel J. 36. Duarte A. (G) 2. Martins J. 19. Mosquera Larrahondo S. D. 21. Neves R. 13. Paixao G. 9. Pinto L. 86. Silva R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Kiko Felix ⚽, Jota (A),
43', Zimbabwe ↓, Teles D. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Vitor Pisco ↓, Daniel J. ↑,
46', Erivaldo ↓, Lucas J. ↑,
68', Fonseca R. ↓, Mosquera Larrahondo S. D. ↑,
80', Cuba ↓, Terpugov N. ↑,
82', Daniel J. 🟨,
87', Gomes R. 🟥,
90', Sinisterra J. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Anadia won 2.

In recent matches, Anadia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sanjoanense is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Anadia is a strong favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Anadia won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:23. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Anadia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anadia FC
Portuguese Liga 3
26.04.25	São João de Ver - Anadia	0:1 ✺
13.04.25	Trofense - Anadia	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Anadia - Braga B	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	Vilaverdense - Anadia	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	Anadia - Trofense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLLWT
- AD Sanjoanense
Portuguese Liga 3
26.04.25	Sanjoanense - Trofense	3:1 ✺
12.04.25	Vilaverdense - Sanjoanense	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Sanjoanense - São João de Ver	5:2 ✺
30.03.25	Braga B - Sanjoanense	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	Sanjoanense - Vilaverdense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
16.02.25	Sanjoanense - Anadia	1:1
04.01.25	Anadia - Sanjoanense	2:1
14.09.24	Sanjoanense - Anadia	1:2
14.04.24	Sanjoanense - Anadia	0:0
16.03.24	Anadia - Sanjoanense	1:2
03.12.23	Sanjoanense - Anadia	2:1
Taça de Portugal
10.09.23	Anadia - Sanjoanense	2:3 penalties

Anadia - Sanjoanense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide