The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sanjoanense 26.3%
Draw 29.4%
Trofense 44.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.3%
29.8%
38.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.8%
29.3%
39.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sanjoanense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
Trofense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Trofense's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanjoanense than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Sanjoanense - Trofense Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Trofense will win (votes: 5 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Trofense will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
36. Duarte A. (G) 25. Couto J. 16. Gomes V. 24. Maio F. 2. Martins J. 3. Nando 13. Pinheiro Edu 33. Sa G. 5. Santos R. 30. Talles Wander
13. Silva N. (C) 5. Cunha G. 6. Daniel J. 19. Diarra M. 7. Ivandro 29. Joel 89. Nuninho 21. Pereira M. 8. Reko Silva 23. Ribeiro Gomes D. M. 30. Welisson
Substitutes
23. Collazos J. 21. Gomes R. 10. Kiko Felix 1. Monteiro J. (G) 9. Mosquera Larrahondo S. D. 84. Mosquera S. 73. Oliveira D. 57. Robalinho T. 76. Sousa R.
14. Assis Cardoso R. H. 55. Azevedo L. 15. Borges F. 9. Hachadi K. 87. Melro R. 2. Oliveira J. 96. Rendeiro R. (G) 79. Rocha T. 77. Roka
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Diarra M. ⚽, Nuninho (A),
38', 0 - 2, Cunha G. (Penalty Awarded),
40', Martins J. 🟨,
45+2', Daniel J. 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 2, Maio F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Santos R. ↓, Kiko Felix ↑,
53', 1 - 3, Diarra M. ⚽, Nuninho (A),
58', Nando 🟨,
60', Daniel J. ↓, Oliveira J. ↑,
60', Ivandro ↓, Melro R. ↑,
60', Pereira M. ↓, Borges F. ↑,
64', 2 - 3, Sa G. ⚽,
75', Reko Silva 🟨,
76', Sa G. 🟨,
82', Diarra M. ↓, Hachadi K. ↑,
83', Couto J. ↓, Gomes R. ↑,
83', Pinheiro Edu ↓, Mosquera Larrahondo S. D. ↑,
87', 2 - 4, Melro R. ⚽,
88', Sa G. ↓, Mosquera S. ↑,
90', Nuninho 🟨,
90', 🟨,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )).
Sanjoanense is Liga 3 (Relegation Group )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sanjoanense won 2.
Sanjoanense has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Trofense has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Trofense might have a minor edge in this game.
We predict that Trofense will win today's game, with odds of 2.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Sanjoanense won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.2:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Sanjoanense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.3:1.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Trofense - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 38.9%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
Portugal
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Duarte A. (G) 
Talles Wander 
Diarra M. 
Ivandro 
Collazos J. 
Hachadi K. 
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