The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Móstoles URJC 49.8%
Draw 26.5%
Las Rozas 23.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.8%
27.2%
26%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.6%
26.2%
25%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Móstoles URJC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
Las Rozas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Rozas than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Móstoles URJC - Las Rozas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Sanchez V. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, ⚽,
37', 2 - 1, Sanchez A. ⚽,
44', 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Móstoles won 3.
Móstoles is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Las Rozas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Móstoles will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Móstoles won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.3:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Móstoles won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 0.7:0).