Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 25

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday


	Canillas		Trival Valderas

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.1	2.37
	2.75	3.25	2.32
	2.82	3.29	2.35
	2.83	3.27	2.33	Watch
	2.79	3.2	2.34
	2.75	3.25	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.13)	3.23 ↑ (3.21)	2.34 ↓ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Canillas
32.9%

Draw
28.2%

Trival Valderas
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

28.3%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

25.2%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canillas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Canillas's form might have worsened.

Trival Valderas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Trival Valderas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canillas than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Canillas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trival Valderas than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Trival Valderas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Canillas - Trival Valderas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, ⚽,
7', 1 - 1, Pitu ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
81', 2 - 1, Acosta T. ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Canillas won 2.

Recent matches Canillas is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Trival Valderas has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Canillas will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Canillas won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:11 (average 1.3:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Canillas won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Canillas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
02.03.25	Aravaca - Canillas	1:2 ✺
23.02.25	Canillas - México	1:2 ✺
16.02.25	Parla - Canillas	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	Canillas - Villaverde San Andrés	2:1 ✺
02.02.25	Las Rozas - Canillas	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.7 WLWWL
- CF Trival Valderas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
02.03.25	Trival Valderas - Alcorcón B	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	Torrejón - Trival Valderas	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	Trival Valderas - Alcalá	1:2 ✺
08.02.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Trival Valderas	3:2 ✺
02.02.25	Trival Valderas - Leganés B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
27.10.24	Trival Valderas - Canillas	3:1
27.04.24	Canillas - Trival Valderas	1:1
17.12.23	Trival Valderas - Canillas	2:1
22.01.23	Canillas - Trival Valderas	2:1
18.09.22	Trival Valderas - Canillas	1:2
27.01.19	Trival Valderas - Canillas	2:0
09.09.18	Canillas - Trival Valderas	2:1

Canillas - Trival Valderas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide