Match Info

Date: 5 February 2021, Friday


	Canterbury United		Hawkes Bay United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.78	4.1	3.3
	1.63	4	3.5
	1.66	4.1	3.75
	1.74	4.56	3.96
	1.78	3.9	3.5
	1.68	4.25	3.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.93)	4.15 ↑ (4)	3.67 ↑ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Canterbury United
53.2%

Draw
21.9%

Hawkes Bay United
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

22.6%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

16.5%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canterbury United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Canterbury United's performance.

Hawkes Bay United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hawkes Bay United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canterbury United than the current prediction. (-19.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Canterbury United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawkes Bay United than the current prediction. (+17%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hawkes Bay United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Canterbury United - Hawkes Bay United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 5 and 7).

Recent matches Canterbury United is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hawke's Bay United is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Canterbury United have a series of guest games.

Canterbury United will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Canterbury United won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 31-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Canterbury United won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Canterbury United
New Zealand Premiership
30.01.21	Hamilton Wanderers - Canterbury United	1:1 ✺
22.01.21	Waitakere United - Canterbury United	3:3 ✺
15.01.21	Canterbury United - Eastern Suburbs	1:0 ✺
08.01.21	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Canterbury United	1:1 ✺
18.12.20	Team Wellington - Canterbury United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TTWTL
- Hawkes Bay United
New Zealand Premiership
30.01.21	Hawkes Bay United - Auckland City	0:4 ✺
23.01.21	Hamilton Academical - Hawkes Bay United	1:4 ✺
16.01.21	Hawkes Bay United - Team Wellington	2:2 ✺
09.01.21	Eastern Suburbs - Hawkes Bay United	1:2 ✺
19.12.20	Hawkes Bay United - Waitakere United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 35.9 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand Premiership
05.12.20	Hawkes Bay United - Canterbury United	0:3
08.02.20	Hawkes Bay United - Canterbury United	2:1
23.11.19	Canterbury United - Hawkes Bay United	2:2
12.01.19	Canterbury United - Hawkes Bay United	5:2
27.10.18	Hawkes Bay United - Canterbury United	2:2
24.02.18	Hawkes Bay United - Canterbury United	1:2
16.12.17	Canterbury United - Hawkes Bay United	3:0

Canterbury United - Hawkes Bay United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide