Match Info

Date: 23 January 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Hamilton Academical		Hawkes Bay United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.44	4.5	5.25
	1.44	4.2	4.5
	1.47	4.6	5.2
	1.5	4.96	5.28
	1.44	4.33	5.5
	1.47	4.65	5.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.72)	4.54 ↑ (3.8)	5.23 ↑ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hamilton Academical
62.5%

Draw
20.1%

Hawkes Bay United
17.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.3%

23.7%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

16.6%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamilton Academical has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hamilton Academical's performance.

Hawkes Bay United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hawkes Bay United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamilton Academical than the current prediction. (-25.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hamilton Academical that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawkes Bay United than the current prediction. (+16.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hawkes Bay United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hamilton Academical - Hawkes Bay United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion to Football Championship (Play Offs) and 8).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Hawke's Bay United could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hamilton is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Hamilton won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Hamilton won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamilton Academical
Scottish Premier League
16.01.21	Hamilton Academical - Dundee United	0:0 ✺
New Zealand Premiership
15.01.21	Auckland City - Hamilton Academical	2:1 ✺
09.01.21	Hamilton Academical - Team Wellington	1:1 ✺
Scottish Premier League
09.01.21	Kilmarnock - Hamilton Academical	2:0 ✺
02.01.21	Hamilton Academical - Motherwell	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 TLTLW
- Hawkes Bay United
New Zealand Premiership
16.01.21	Hawkes Bay United - Team Wellington	2:2 ✺
09.01.21	Eastern Suburbs - Hawkes Bay United	1:2 ✺
19.12.20	Hawkes Bay United - Waitakere United	2:0 ✺
11.12.20	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Hawkes Bay United	3:0 ✺
05.12.20	Hawkes Bay United - Canterbury United	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.4 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand Premiership
14.11.20	Hawkes Bay United - Hamilton Academical	0:3
21.12.19	Hamilton Academical - Hawkes Bay United	2:1
26.01.19	Hamilton Academical - Hawkes Bay United	4:4
10.11.18	Hawkes Bay United - Hamilton Academical	0:2
06.01.18	Hawkes Bay United - Hamilton Academical	2:2
28.10.17	Hamilton Academical - Hawkes Bay United	0:1
18.03.17	Hawkes Bay United - Hamilton Academical	4:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamilton Academical
Scottish League One
31.10.26	Hamilton Academical - Montrose	✺

Hamilton Academical - Hawkes Bay United