Match Info

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 7

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega (Cusco)

Referee: Ortega K. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com


	Cienciano		Atlético Grau

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.1	5.75	Watch
	1.52	3.75	5
	1.52	4.2	5.8	Watch
	1.53	4.09	5.88
	1.74	3.42	4.90	Watch
	1.55	3.8	5.8
	1.56	4.05	5.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.53)	3.92 ↓ (4.2)	5.56 ↑ (5.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cienciano
59.6%

Draw
23.7%

Atlético Grau
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61%

22.2%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

21.2%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cienciano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Atlético Grau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Cienciano - Atlético Grau Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cienciano will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cienciano (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Bolado J. (G) 2. Ortiz D. 6. Galeano L. 70. Valoyes J. 22. Neira C. 5. Arias Fierro S. D. 14. Torrejon C. (C) 30. Da Silva B. 8. Gonzalez A. 13. Hohberg A. 21. Garces C.	1. Alvarez P. (G) 15. Rostaing J. 27. Tapia R. 13. Franco D. 14. Bolivar J. 5. Guarderas R. 8. Soto D. 7. Garro J. 25. Vilca R. 10. de la Cruz P. 99. Ruidiaz R.
Substitutes
39. Aguirre G. 15. Amasifuen N. 4. Amondarain M. 29. Barrios I. (G) 18. Gamero Y. 17. Noronha O. 55. Ramua A. 99. Sandoval R. 77. Souza Espana C.	11. Bandiera N. 2. Cavagna F. 12. Fuentes A. (G) 29. Garcia B. 24. Olivares C. 17. Reyes J. 6. Rodas E. 9. Sandoval T. 20. Vasquez A.
Coaches
Desio C.	Comizzo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', Tapia R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Vilca R. ↓, Garcia B. ↑,
51', 1 - 0, Da Silva B. ⚽, Hohberg A. (A),
53', Arias Fierro S. D. 🟨,
55', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
58', Garro J. ↓, Olivares C. ↑,
58', Rostaing J. 🟨,
69', Guarderas R. 🟨,
72', Da Silva B. ↓, Sandoval R. ↑,
72', Neira C. ↓, Gamero Y. ↑,
72', Ruidiaz R. ↓, Sandoval T. ↑,
72', Bolivar J. ↓, Rodas E. ↑,
72', de la Cruz P. ↓, Bandiera N. ↑,
74', Rostaing J. 🟨,
76', Gonzalez A. ↓, Amasifuen N. ↑,
76', Hohberg A. ↓, Ramua A. ↑,
83', Garces C. ↓, Souza Espana C. ↑,
88', Torrejon C. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 2.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Cienciano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Cienciano is a strong favorite.

There are questionable in Cienciano: Romagnoli J. (Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Cienciano won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 1.6:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cienciano
Copa Sudamericana
20.08.25	Cienciano - Bolívar	0:2 ✺
13.08.25	Bolívar - Cienciano	2:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
08.08.25	Comerciantes Unidos - Cienciano	1:1 ✺
04.08.25	Cienciano - Los Chankas	3:0 ✺
01.08.25	Deportivo Garcilaso - Cienciano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLTWL
- Atlético Grau
Peruvian Liga 1
15.08.25	Atlético Grau - Comerciantes Unidos	1:2 ✺
10.08.25	Los Chankas - Atlético Grau	3:2 ✺
06.08.25	Atlético Grau - Deportivo Garcilaso	1:1 ✺
31.07.25	Universitario de Deportes - Atlético Grau	3:1 ✺
20.07.25	Ayacucho - Atlético Grau	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
05.04.25	Atlético Grau - Cienciano	1:1
17.08.24	Cienciano - Atlético Grau	1:0
09.03.24	Atlético Grau - Cienciano	1:1
30.09.23	Cienciano - Atlético Grau	2:0
21.05.23	Atlético Grau - Cienciano	4:0
20.08.22	Cienciano - Atlético Grau	2:2
03.04.22	Atlético Grau - Cienciano	1:2

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