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Current Win Probability
Cusco 60.2%
Draw 24.1%
Atlético Grau 15.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.2%
26.6%
22.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.9%
25.7%
21.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cusco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cusco's performance.
Atlético Grau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Grau might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cusco that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Grau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
71.4%
0%
28.6%
Cusco - Atlético Grau Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Cusco will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Grau will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
28. Diaz P. (G) 24. Ruidias M. 6. Ampuero A. 37. Choi G. 21. Zevallos J. 16. Valenzuela O. 77. Herrera Joel 88. Soto D. 10. Colman I. (C) 26. Silva N. 11. Tevez J.
33. Calderon A. (C) 27. Tapia R. 2. Acevedo L. 3. Tapia I. 4. Rodriguez D. 66. de la Cruz A. 5. Guarderas R. 25. Alfaro Martinez G. E. 22. Neira C. 9. Ruidiaz R. 10. de la Cruz P.
Substitutes
17. Ali Gutierrez J. D. 32. Astudillo J. 15. Bolivar J. 27. Carabajal G. 22. Colitto L. 14. Diez C. 2. Gamarra C. 7. Manzaneda J. 13. Vidal A. (G)
16. Ataupillco J. 19. Camargo I. 21. Correa E. 11. Delgadillo N. 29. Franco E. 12. Fuentes A. (G) 6. Rodas E. 24. Ruidiaz Y. 20. Vasquez A.
Coaches
Orfila A.
Ameli G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Zevallos J. 🟨,
33', Silva N. 🟨,
38', Herrera Joel ↓, Colitto L. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Colman I. 🟨,
51', Guarderas R. 🟨,
64', Silva N. ↓, Manzaneda J. ↑,
65', Soto D. ↓, Carabajal G. ↑,
67', de la Cruz P. ↓, Ruidiaz Y. ↑,
69', Tapia R. 🟨,
71', de la Cruz A. ↓, Rodas E. ↑,
71', Alfaro Martinez G. E. ↓, Correa E. ↑,
84', Ruidiaz R. ↓, Delgadillo N. ↑,
84', Neira C. ↓, Franco E. ↑,
85', Calderon A. 🟨,
87', Tevez J. ↓, Ali Gutierrez J. D. ↑,
90+4', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 0, Manzaneda J. ⚽, Ali Gutierrez J. D. (A),
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 18).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cusco won 1.
Cusco has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Grau's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Grau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Cusco is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Cusco: Fuentes A.
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Cusco: Aucca M.
(Inactive)
Callejo F.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Grau: Alfaro Martinez G. E.
(Injury)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Cusco won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Cusco won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).
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Diaz P. (G) 
Colman I. (C) 
Tapia I. 
Ali Gutierrez J. D. 
Camargo I. 
Orfila A. 
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