Match Info

PERU: LIGA 1 - CLAUSURA - ROUND 16

Date: 1 October 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Miguel Grau (Callao)


	Cantolao		ADT Tarma

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.6	1.62	Watch
	5	3.6	1.57
	5.45	3.95	1.6	Watch
	5.27	4	1.62
	5.5	3.9	1.53
	5.4	3.98	1.6	Watch
	5.2	3.85	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.33 ↑ (4.67)	3.84 ↑ (3.73)	1.59 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cantolao
17.4%

Draw
24.2%

ADT Tarma
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20%

25%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

24.3%

56.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cantolao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ADT Tarma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cantolao than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Cantolao - ADT Tarma Predictions

Users Predictions: ADT Tarma will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Limousin C. (G) 29. Lojas S. 18. Cangahuala R. 4. Moreira F. 55. Duclos F. 30. Huerto J. 17. Tajima M. 20. Ramirez D. 5. Guarderas R. 9. Espinoza Torres R. 15. Calabrese B.	1. Barrios I. (C) 7. Saba E. 24. Rizzo G. 16. Choi G. 14. Silvera M. 28. Gamero Y. 11. Alfageme A. 10. Cedron V. 26. Serna K. 21. Perlaza V. 89. Posito J.
Substitutes
6. Alzamora R. 24. Delgado V. 31. Lara J. 50. Lozada J. (G) 14. Regalado I. 19. Tamariz A. 26. Vargas J. 27. Velasco S. 7. Vergara H.	46. Aguero J. 30. Diaz P. (G) 29. Falconi J. 4. Gutierrez E. 22. Morales D. 20. Moreno K. 8. Palomino J. 9. Rengifo H. 17. Velarde C.
Coaches
Socola J.	Navarro F.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 and 6).

Cantolao is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches ADT is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cantolao could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match ADT is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Cantolao won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Cantolao won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Cantolao
Peruvian Liga 1
23.09.23	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Cantolao	1:0 ✺
19.09.23	Cantolao - FBC Melgar	0:1 ✺
15.09.23	Carlos A. Mannucci - Cantolao	1:2 ✺
09.09.23	Cantolao - Alianza Lima	0:2 ✺
26.08.23	Unión Comercio - Cantolao	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LLWLL
- ADT Tarma
Peruvian Liga 1
24.09.23	ADT Tarma - Alianza Atlético	1:0 ✺
20.09.23	Cienciano - ADT Tarma	2:2 ✺
17.09.23	ADT Tarma - Sport Huancayo	2:1 ✺
02.09.23	Cusco - ADT Tarma	1:0 ✺
28.08.23	ADT Tarma - Cajamarca	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
20.05.23	ADT Tarma - Cantolao	1:1
23.10.22	ADT Tarma - Cantolao	2:1
26.06.22	Cantolao - ADT Tarma	3:0

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