Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 18

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday


	Canvey Island		St Albans City

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.55	1.9
	3.18	4.05	1.9
	3.43	3.64	1.92	Watch
	3.37	3.73	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↓ (3.43)	3.74 ↑ (3.64)	1.93 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Canvey Island
27.7%

Draw
24.6%

St Albans City
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

25.3%

47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

21.4%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canvey Island has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

St Albans City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canvey Island than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Albans City than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St Albans City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Canvey Island - St Albans City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Sery L. ⚽,
34', 0 - 2, Wall A. ⚽,
37', 1 - 2, Stimson C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
67', 1 - 3, Wall A. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 17).

In recent matches, Canvey Island has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

St Albans has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

St Albans may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

St Albans might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Canvey Island
English Isthmian League Premier Division
08.11.25	Canvey Island - Carshalton Athletic	2:2 ✺
04.11.25	Canvey Island - Wingate & Finchley	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Burgess Hill Town - Canvey Island	0:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Leatherhead - Canvey Island	2:1 penalties ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
18.10.25	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Canvey Island	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TTWLT
- St Albans City
English Isthmian League Premier Division
11.11.25	St Albans City - Brentwood Town	2:3 ✺
08.11.25	Dulwich Hamlet - St Albans City	4:2 ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Burton Albion - St Albans City	6:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	St Albans City - Hanwell Town	0:2 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
21.10.25	Cray Wanderers - St Albans City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT

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