Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 16

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday


	Canvey Island		Carshalton Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.55	2.3
	2.56	3.52	2.44
	2.32	3.80	2.51	Watch
	2.5	3.5	2.34
	2.38	3.65	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.32)	3.6 ↓ (3.8)	2.41 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Canvey Island
37%

Draw
25.2%

Carshalton Athletic
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

24.1%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

23.9%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canvey Island has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Carshalton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canvey Island than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carshalton Athletic than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Canvey Island - Carshalton Athletic Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Carshalton (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Fiddes M. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Salami A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
68', 2 - 1, Fiddes M. ⚽,
85', 2 - 2, Nzuzi N. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Canvey Island won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Canvey Island may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Canvey Island won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Canvey Island won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Carshalton Athletic - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 36.46%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Canvey Island
English Isthmian League Premier Division
04.11.25	Canvey Island - Wingate & Finchley	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Burgess Hill Town - Canvey Island	0:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Leatherhead - Canvey Island	2:1 penalties ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
18.10.25	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Canvey Island	1:1 ✺
14.10.25	Canvey Island - Brentwood Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 TWLTW
- Carshalton Athletic
English Isthmian League Premier Division
01.11.25	Carshalton Athletic - Potters Bar Town	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	Ramsgate - Carshalton Athletic	2:2 ✺
18.10.25	Carshalton Athletic - Hashtag United	2:2 ✺
13.10.25	Carshalton Athletic - Burgess Hill Town	1:2 ✺
11.10.25	Whitehawk - Carshalton Athletic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
08.02.25	Carshalton Athletic - Canvey Island	2:1
22.10.24	Canvey Island - Carshalton Athletic	1:0
24.02.24	Canvey Island - Carshalton Athletic	0:0
09.10.23	Carshalton Athletic - Canvey Island	0:3
04.02.23	Carshalton Athletic - Canvey Island	0:2
19.11.22	Canvey Island - Carshalton Athletic	1:1
01.03.14	Canvey Island - Carshalton Athletic	3:2

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