Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 10

Date: 4 November 2025, Tuesday


	Canvey Island		Wingate & Finchley

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.4	2.25
	2.92	3.44	2.21
	2.62	3.51	2.34	Watch
	2.74	3.36	2.28
	2.92	3.45	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↓ (2.89)	3.43 ↓ (3.45)	2.25 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Canvey Island
32.9%

Draw
26.6%

Wingate & Finchley
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

26.3%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

25.7%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canvey Island has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Wingate & Finchley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canvey Island than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wingate & Finchley than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Canvey Island - Wingate & Finchley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
82', 0 - 1, Hernandez L. ⚽,
89', 1 - 1, Ronto E. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 21 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Canvey Island won 1.

Canvey Island is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Wingate & Finchley has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Wingate & Finchley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Canvey Island has had a series of away games.

Wingate & Finchley might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Canvey Island won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:27. (average 1.7:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Canvey Island won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.6:2.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Canvey Island
English Isthmian League Premier Division
01.11.25	Burgess Hill Town - Canvey Island	0:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Leatherhead - Canvey Island	2:1 penalties ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
18.10.25	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Canvey Island	1:1 ✺
14.10.25	Canvey Island - Brentwood Town	3:2 ✺
11.10.25	Potters Bar Town - Canvey Island	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 WLTWL
- Wingate & Finchley
English Isthmian League Premier Division
01.11.25	Brentwood Town - Wingate & Finchley	0:5 ✺
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Wingate & Finchley - Cheshunt	0:1 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
18.10.25	Cheshunt - Wingate & Finchley	2:3 ✺
14.10.25	Hashtag United - Wingate & Finchley	0:1 ✺
11.10.25	Ramsgate - Wingate & Finchley	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.2 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
26.04.25	Wingate & Finchley - Canvey Island	0:0
24.08.24	Canvey Island - Wingate & Finchley	2:3
09.03.24	Canvey Island - Wingate & Finchley	0:2
21.10.23	Wingate & Finchley - Canvey Island	6:2
01.04.23	Wingate & Finchley - Canvey Island	0:2
22.10.22	Canvey Island - Wingate & Finchley	0:3
04.03.17	Wingate & Finchley - Canvey Island	1:2

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