Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 20

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday


	Canvey Island		Cray Wanderers

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.35	2.15
	2.99	3.53	2.13
	2.16	3.50	2.97	Watch
	2.94	3.32	2.17
	3	3.5	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.16)	3.44 ↓ (3.5)	2.31 ↓ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Canvey Island
33.1%

Draw
26.9%

Cray Wanderers
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

26.3%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

25.6%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canvey Island has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Canvey Island's form might have worsened.

Cray Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cray Wanderers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canvey Island than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Canvey Island, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cray Wanderers than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cray Wanderers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Canvey Island - Cray Wanderers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 1 - 0, Skarna M. ⚽,
52', 1 - 1, Taylor Q. ⚽,
89', Bonner T. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Canvey Island won 2.

Canvey Island has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Cray has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Cray may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Canvey Island won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Canvey Island won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:4. (average 2.3:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Cray Wanderers - the odds 2.97 are the expected chance of winning is 31.02%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Canvey Island
English Isthmian League Premier Division
25.11.25	Cheshunt - Canvey Island	2:0 ✺
22.11.25	Ramsgate - Canvey Island	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Canvey Island - St Albans City	1:3 ✺
08.11.25	Canvey Island - Carshalton Athletic	2:2 ✺
04.11.25	Canvey Island - Wingate & Finchley	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLTT
- Cray Wanderers
English Isthmian League Premier Division
22.11.25	Cray Wanderers - Burgess Hill Town	3:3 ✺
15.11.25	Welling United - Cray Wanderers	0:2 ✺
11.11.25	Folkestone Invicta - Cray Wanderers	8:1 ✺
08.11.25	Cray Wanderers - Chichester City	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Cheshunt - Cray Wanderers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
09.08.25	Cray Wanderers - Canvey Island	2:0
08.03.25	Cray Wanderers - Canvey Island	3:1
23.11.24	Canvey Island - Cray Wanderers	2:0
21.02.24	Cray Wanderers - Canvey Island	2:1
24.10.23	Canvey Island - Cray Wanderers	2:1
07.01.23	Canvey Island - Cray Wanderers	1:1
20.08.22	Cray Wanderers - Canvey Island	1:0

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