Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 31

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	Wingate & Finchley		Cheshunt

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.5	2.62
	2.44	3.69	2.48
	2.21	3.79	2.69	Watch
	2.3	3.4	2.5
	2.31	3.8	2.67
	2.42	3.66	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.14)	3.64 ↓ (3.9)	2.57 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wingate & Finchley
39.3%

Draw
25.1%

Cheshunt
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

23.6%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

24.4%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wingate & Finchley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Cheshunt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wingate & Finchley than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wingate & Finchley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheshunt than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Wingate & Finchley - Cheshunt Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
5', 0 - 1, Kurran-Browne C. ⚽,
13', 0 - 2, Melvin-Lambert N. ⚽,
19', 1 - 2, Cracknell B. ⚽,
22', 2 - 2, Botti G. ⚽,
41', 2 - 3, Wilson-Braithwaite D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wingate & Finchley won 2.

Wingate & Finchley is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Cheshunt has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cheshunt may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Cheshunt has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Wingate & Finchley won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:20. (average 1.1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Wingate & Finchley won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1.2:1.8).

Outrights of English Isthmian League Premier Division for now

Cheshunt: 1.64% Wingate & Finchley: 1.64%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Cheshunt	10	2	5	3	9:13	-4	11
15	Wingate & Finchley	8	3	2	3	13:18	-5	11

Last Results with these Odds

Wingate & Finchley - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 42.98%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Cheshunt - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 33.44%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wingate & Finchley
English Isthmian League Premier Division
31.01.26	Wingate & Finchley - Ramsgate	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Folkestone Invicta - Wingate & Finchley	4:0 ✺
17.01.26	Chichester City - Wingate & Finchley	2:2 ✺
10.01.26	Welling United - Wingate & Finchley	1:0 ✺
27.12.25	St Albans City - Wingate & Finchley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLTLL
- Cheshunt FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
31.01.26	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Cheshunt	3:3 ✺
24.01.26	Cheshunt - Chichester City	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	Dulwich Hamlet - Cheshunt	0:1 ✺
12.01.26	Carshalton Athletic - Cheshunt	3:3 ✺
27.12.25	Potters Bar Town - Cheshunt	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Wingate & Finchley - Cheshunt	0:1
English Isthmian League Premier Division
18.10.25	Cheshunt - Wingate & Finchley	2:3
21.04.25	Cheshunt - Wingate & Finchley	3:1
26.12.24	Wingate & Finchley - Cheshunt	0:1
01.01.24	Wingate & Finchley - Cheshunt	3:2
28.08.23	Cheshunt - Wingate & Finchley	0:1
12.03.22	Cheshunt - Wingate & Finchley	3:0

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