The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Carabanchel 17.7%
Draw 27.7%
CDE Madrid 54.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.4%
29.6%
49.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.8%
28.7%
50.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carabanchel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
CDE Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting CDE Madrid's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carabanchel than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for CDE Madrid than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
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Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).
Carabanchel is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
CDE Madrid is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
CDE Madrid could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match CDE Madrid is a favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Carabanchel won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.