Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 13

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday


	Carabanchel		Torrejón

	1	X	2
	2.18	3.05	3
	2.31	3.05	3.11
	2.3	3.07	3.06	Watch
	2.25	3	3
	2.33	3.3	2.97
	2.3	3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.18)	3.08 ↑ (3)	3.02 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carabanchel
40.1%

Draw
29.7%

Torrejón
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

29.9%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

28.6%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carabanchel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Torrejón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carabanchel than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torrejón than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Carabanchel - Torrejón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Arratia S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carabanchel won 0.

Carabanchel has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Torrejón is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Carabanchel could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Carabanchel won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Carabanchel won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RCD Carabanchel
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
23.11.25	Parla - Carabanchel	3:1 ✺
16.11.25	Carabanchel - Alcorcón B	2:3 ✺
08.11.25	México - Carabanchel	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Carabanchel - Tres Cantos	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Carabanchel - Galapagar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLWTW
- AD Torrejón CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
23.11.25	Torrejón - Móstoles URJC	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	San Sebastian Reyes B - Torrejón	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Torrejón - Racing Madrid	4:1 ✺
02.11.25	Las Rozas - Torrejón	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Torrejón - Unión Adarve	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
23.03.25	Torrejón - Carabanchel	1:0
10.11.24	Carabanchel - Torrejón	1:2
06.03.22	Carabanchel - Torrejón	1:1
07.11.21	Torrejón - Carabanchel	1:1
02.05.21	Torrejón - Carabanchel	4:0
11.04.21	Carabanchel - Torrejón	1:2
08.03.20	Torrejón - Carabanchel	1:1

Carabanchel - Torrejón: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide