Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 3

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Polideportivo Misael Delgado (Valencia)

Referee: Diaz A. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol, fubo Sports Network
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
South-america	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
Uruguay	DSPORTS+ Plus
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Latino, Tubi TV
Venezuela	DSPORTS+ Plus


	Carabobo		Blooming

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.9	5.5	Watch
	1.68	3.75	4.75
	1.62	3.7	4.95	Watch
	1.66	3.86	5.39
	1.73	3.75	4.84	Watch
	1.62	3.75	5	Watch
	1.62	3.92	5.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.64)	3.8 ↑ (3.7)	5.14 ↑ (5.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Carabobo
57%

Draw
24.7%

Blooming
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

25.1%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

24.3%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carabobo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Blooming has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carabobo than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blooming than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Carabobo - Blooming Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Carabobo will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Blooming will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carabobo: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Bruera L. (C) 21. Gonzalez A. 32. Neira E. 3. Fuentes J. 14. Berios J. 5. Castillo E. 26. Nunez M. 8. Perez J. 10. Orozco Y. 24. Ramirez E. 7. Tortolero E.	1. Uraezana B. (G) 44. Enoumba M. 22. Vila J. 3. Valverde J. 88. Centella G. 16. Bejarano Da. 19. Abisab M. 8. Villarroel M. (C) 10. Hinojosa R. 7. Villarroel M. 29. Garces J.
Substitutes
6. Bahachille A. 28. Bilbao J. 15. Cova M. 2. Guaramato M. 16. Lopez F. 19. Martinez L. 30. Mendoza S. 23. Meza D. 18. Obando J. 17. Oliveros F. 9. Riasco J. 12. Roa K. (G)	71. Almada G. (G) 28. Alvarez E. 13. Camacho J. (G) 55. Carrasco J. 23. Chura J. 70. Esdras Mendoza 20. Loza P. 11. Menacho C. 14. Mercado Galvez J. S. 33. Oliveros A. 5. Severiche S. 9. Vasquez A.
Coaches
Farias D.	Soria M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Tortolero E. ⚽,
9', Tortolero E. 🟨,
14', Enoumba M. 🟨,
23', Nunez M. 🟨,
39', 2 - 0, Tortolero E. ⚽, Orozco Y. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Centella G. ↓, Vasquez A. ↑,
46', Enoumba M. ↓, Menacho C. ↑,
50', Abisab M. 🟥,
57', Nunez M. ↓, Bilbao J. ↑,
57', Tortolero E. ↓, Cova M. ↑,
69', Garces J. ↓, Oliveros A. ↑,
69', Villarroel M. ↓, Esdras Mendoza ↑,
71', Ramirez E. ↓, Martinez L. ↑,
81', Valverde J. 🟨,
83', Orozco Y. ↓, Obando J. ↑,
83', Berios J. ↓, Bahachille A. ↑,
89', Hinojosa R. 🟨,
90+2', Hinojosa R. ↓, Carrasco J. ↑,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Blooming may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Carabobo is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Carabobo - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 56.61%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carabobo FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
25.04.26	Deportivo Táchira - Carabobo	2:1 ✺
20.04.26	Carabobo - Academia Anzoátegui	6:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
15.04.26	River Plate - Carabobo	1:0 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
12.04.26	Carabobo - Universidad Central	4:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
09.04.26	Carabobo - Red Bull Bragantino	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWLWW
- Blooming Santa Cruz
Bolivian Division Profesional
25.04.26	ABB - Blooming	3:2 ✺
22.04.26	Blooming - Nacional Potosí	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
16.04.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Blooming	3:2 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
12.04.26	Real Oruro - Blooming	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
08.04.26	Blooming - River Plate	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWLTT

Upcoming Matches