Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 1

Date: 9 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Polideportivo Misael Delgado (Valencia)

Referee: Heras H. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Bolivia	ESPN 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Colombia	ESPN 2
Ecuador	ESPN 2
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2
South-america	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Latino, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+, DSports 1, ESPN 2, Inter


	Carabobo		Red Bull Bragantino

	1	X	2
	3.7	3	2.1	Watch
	3.3	3.1	2.2
	3.7	2.98	2.12
	3.89	3.08	2.13
	3.82	3.12	2.13	Watch
	3.5	3	2.1	Watch
	3.8	2.97	2.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↑ (3.44)	3.04 ↑ (2.96)	2.13 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carabobo
25.4%

Draw
30.7%

Red Bull Bragantino
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

31.9%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

28.4%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carabobo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carabobo than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carabobo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Red Bull Bragantino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	50%	37.5%

Carabobo - Red Bull Bragantino Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Carabobo will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). RB Bragantino will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Bruera L. (C) 21. Gonzalez A. 32. Neira E. 3. Fuentes J. 8. Perez J. 28. Bilbao J. 26. Nunez M. 15. Cova M. 7. Tortolero E. 14. Berios J. 24. Ramirez E.	18. Tiago Volpi (G) 34. Hurtado A. (C) 14. Pedro Henrique 3. Eduardo Santos 51. Caue Nascimento 5. Fabinho 15. Sosa I. 57. Marcelinho 22. Gustavo Neves 17. Vinicinho 67. Jhuan
Substitutes
4. Aponte L. 6. Bahachille A. 5. Castillo E. 13. Duran J. 2. Guaramato M. 19. Martinez L. 23. Meza D. 18. Obando J. 17. Oliveros F. 10. Orozco Y. 9. Riasco J. 12. Roa K. (G)	4. Alix Vinicius 1. Cleiton (G) 7. Eric Ramires 6. Gabriel 16. Gustavo Marques 29. Juninho Capixaba 21. Lucas Barbosa 30. Mosquera H. 9. Pitta I. 20. Rodriguinho 52. Tavares R. 28. Yuri Leles
Coaches
Farias D.	Vagner Mancini

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Neira E. ⚽, Cova M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Eduardo Santos ↓, Gustavo Marques ↑,
58', Bilbao J. 🟨,
62', Tortolero E. ↓, Castillo E. ↑,
64', Jhuan ↓, Pitta I. ↑,
64', Marcelinho ↓, Mosquera H. ↑,
64', Fabinho ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
78', Caue Nascimento ↓, Lucas Barbosa ↑,
79', Gonzalez A. ↓, Guaramato M. ↑,
79', Berios J. ↓, Martinez L. ↑,
85', Ramirez E. ↓, Bahachille A. ↑,
88', Bruera L. 🟨,
90+1', Lucas Barbosa 🟨,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Carabobo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

RB Bragantino will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carabobo FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
02.04.26	Deportivo La Guaira - Carabobo	1:1 ✺
23.03.26	Carabobo - Academia Puerto Cabello	1:1 ✺
18.03.26	Estudiantes de Mérida - Carabobo	3:2 ✺
15.03.26	Carabobo - Rayo Zuliano	5:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
11.03.26	Sporting Cristal - Carabobo	2:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 TTLWW
- Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Serie A
05.04.26	Mirassol - Red Bull Bragantino	0:1 ✺
02.04.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Flamengo	3:0 ✺
21.03.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Botafogo RJ	1:2 ✺
18.03.26	Bahia - Red Bull Bragantino	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Red Bull Bragantino - São Paulo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWLLL

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