The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Carabobo 71%
Draw 19.7%
Rayo Zuliano 9.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.6%
23.3%
14.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64%
23.8%
13.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carabobo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carabobo's performance.
Rayo Zuliano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carabobo than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carabobo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Zuliano than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Carabobo - Rayo Zuliano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Roa K. (G) 2. Guaramato M. 32. Neira E. 3. Fuentes J. 17. Oliveros F. 30. Mendoza S. 16. Lopez F. 23. Meza D. 10. Orozco Y. 7. Tortolero E. (C) 19. Martinez L.
1. Camacaro J. (G) 3. Rivillo D. 20. Chacon P. 22. Orejuela S. 6. Kinsler A. 8. Velez J. 26. Gomez J. 10. Arias J. 11. Romero C. 23. Ochoa J. (C) 7. Vasquez Ferrer D. A.
Substitutes
4. Aponte L. 6. Bahachille A. 14. Berios J. 28. Bilbao J. 22. Bruera L. (G) 29. Calabrese S. 5. Castillo E. 15. Cova M. 37. Diaz F. 13. Duran J. 8. Perez J.
70. Colina Bracho J. A. 17. Conde Chourio O. I. 34. Diaz F. 99. Gonzalez M. 36. Jimenez A. 25. Julio J. 9. Maldonado C. 19. Martinez G. 5. Martinez J. 90. Pena L. 12. Ramirez R. (G) 97. Urbina L.
Coaches
Farias D.
Garcia J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
10', Orejuela S. ↓, Conde Chourio O. I. ↑,
23', Chacon P. 🟨,
26', Ochoa J. 🟨,
26', Arias J. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Tortolero E. (Penalty Awarded),
38', Mendoza S. 🟨,
39', 2 - 0, Martinez L. ⚽, Orozco Y. (A),
40', Tortolero E. ↓, Berios J. ↑,
42', Martinez L. 🟨,
45+9', Chacon P. 🟥,
45+10', 3 - 0, Berios J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Mendoza S. ↓, Cova M. ↑,
46', Arias J. ↓, Diaz F. ↑,
46', Kinsler A. ↓, Julio J. ↑,
47', 4 - 0, Meza D. ⚽, Berios J. (A),
56', Martinez L. ↓, Calabrese S. ↑,
58', 5 - 0, Berios J. ⚽, Guaramato M. (A),
60', Vasquez Ferrer D. A. ↓, Colina Bracho J. A. ↑,
65', Fuentes J. ↓, Duran J. ↑,
65', Orozco Y. ↓, Diaz F. ↑,
84', Gomez J. 🟨,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carabobo won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Rayo Zuliano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Carabobo is the clear favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Carabobo won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Carabobo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
Watch
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Roa K. (G) 
Neira E. 
Orejuela S. 
Bilbao J. 
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