Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 18

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Caravaca		Cieza

	1	X	2
	6.7	3.75	1.44
	6.92	3.91	1.46
	7	3.6	1.44
	7.27	3.92	1.41
	6.66	4	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.91 ↓ (7.18)	3.84 ↓ (3.91)	1.43 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caravaca
13.1%

Draw
23.6%

Cieza
63.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.6%

23.2%

64.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.3%

22.7%

65.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caravaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Cieza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caravaca than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cieza than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Caravaca - Cieza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
67', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caravaca won 1.

Caravaca has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cieza is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Caravaca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Cieza is the obvious favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Caravaca won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:16. (average 0.9:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Caravaca won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Caravaca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
14.01.26	Real Murcia B - Caravaca	4:3 ✺
11.01.26	Caravaca - Bala Azul	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Olímpico de Totana - Caravaca	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Caravaca - Cartagena B	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Caravaca - Yeclano B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTTTW
- CD Cieza
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
11.01.26	Cieza - Muleño	4:1 ✺
04.01.26	Bala Azul - Cieza	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Cieza - Olímpico de Totana	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Cartagena B - Cieza	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Cieza - Real Murcia B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
07.09.25	Cieza - Caravaca	2:0
27.10.24	Cieza - Caravaca	5:1
26.05.24	Cieza - Caravaca	2:2 ET
19.05.24	Caravaca - Cieza	0:0
21.01.24	Cieza - Caravaca	2:1
29.01.23	Cieza - Caravaca	4:1
02.10.22	Caravaca - Cieza	1:1

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