Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 22

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday


	Unión Molinense		Caravaca

	1	X	2
	1.45	3.85	6.3
	1.65	3.96	4.38
	1.96	2.42	6.27	Watch
	1.65	3.6	4.4
	1.64	3.76	4.43
	1.69	3.6	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.46)	3.53 ↓ (3.8)	5.02 ↓ (6.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Molinense
55.3%

Draw
26.2%

Caravaca
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

24%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9%

23.1%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Molinense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Unión Molinense's form might have worsened.

Caravaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Caravaca's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Molinense than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión Molinense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caravaca than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Caravaca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Unión Molinense - Caravaca Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Caravaca (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Molinense won 3.

Molinense has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Caravaca has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Molinense is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Molinense won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Molinense won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Molinense	5	2	2	1	10:8	2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Molinense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
08.02.26	Cieza - Unión Molinense	3:0 ✺
01.02.26	Unión Molinense - Bala Azul	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Olímpico de Totana - Unión Molinense	1:2 ✺
21.01.26	Pulpileño - Unión Molinense	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Unión Molinense - Cartagena B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWWWL
- UD Caravaca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
10.02.26	Caravaca - Atlético Santa Cruz	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Santomera - Caravaca	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Muleño - Caravaca	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Caravaca - Cieza	1:1 ✺
14.01.26	Real Murcia B - Caravaca	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
05.10.25	Caravaca - Unión Molinense	1:2
09.02.25	Unión Molinense - Caravaca	1:0
28.09.24	Caravaca - Unión Molinense	0:1
17.03.24	Unión Molinense - Caravaca	0:0
29.10.23	Caravaca - Unión Molinense	1:0
19.03.23	Unión Molinense - Caravaca	2:1
20.11.22	Caravaca - Unión Molinense	2:3

Unión Molinense - Caravaca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide