Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 31

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday


	Caravaca		Lorca Deportiva

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.3	1.81
	4.35	3.3	1.8
	4.1	3.3	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.18 ↑ (3.7)	3.3 ↓ (3.45)	1.81 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caravaca
21.8%

Draw
27.7%

Lorca Deportiva
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

26.4%

49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

26.5%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caravaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Lorca Deportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caravaca than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, Peque ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
79', 1 - 2, Fernandez S. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Caravaca won 2.

Recent matches Caravaca is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lorca Deportiva in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Caravaca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Lorca Deportiva will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Caravaca won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:9 (average 2:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Caravaca won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 2.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Caravaca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
06.04.25	Caravaca - UCAM Murcia B	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Real Murcia B - Caravaca	1:0 ✺
23.03.25	Caravaca - Cartagena B	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Deportivo Marítimo - Caravaca	4:1 ✺
23.02.25	Caravaca - Bala Azul	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWLT
- CF Lorca Deportiva
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
16.04.25	Lorca Deportiva - Unión Molinense	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Lorca Deportiva - Minerva	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Muleño - Lorca Deportiva	0:2 ✺
30.03.25	Lorca Deportiva - El Palmar	1:0 ✺
22.03.25	Plus Ultra - Lorca Deportiva	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
08.12.24	Lorca Deportiva - Caravaca	2:1
03.03.24	Caravaca - Lorca Deportiva	3:0
12.10.23	Lorca Deportiva - Caravaca	2:0
26.03.23	Caravaca - Lorca Deportiva	2:1
27.11.22	Lorca Deportiva - Caravaca	2:2
27.02.22	Lorca Deportiva - Caravaca	2:4

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