Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 11

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	Caravaca		Pulpileño

	1	X	2
	2.92	2.88	2.4
	2.66	2.78	2.75
	2.76	2.78	2.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↓ (3.02)	2.81 ↑ (2.79)	2.57 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caravaca
32.6%

Draw
32.2%

Pulpileño
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

32.8%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

32.5%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caravaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Pulpileño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caravaca than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pulpileño than the current prediction. (+2%)

Caravaca - Pulpileño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Lopez M. ⚽,
32', 2 - 0, Agnaou H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 2 - 1, Hernandez R. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caravaca won 1.

Caravaca is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Pulpileño is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Caravaca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Caravaca has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Caravaca won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Caravaca won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Caravaca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
08.11.25	Águilas B - Caravaca	3:2 ✺
02.11.25	UCAM Murcia B - Caravaca	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Mazarrón - Caravaca	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Caravaca - El Palmar	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Deportivo Marítimo - Caravaca	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTTLL
- CA Pulpileño
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
09.11.25	Pulpileño - Cieza	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Bala Azul - Pulpileño	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Pulpileño - Olímpico de Totana	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Cartagena B - Pulpileño	1:2 ✺
11.10.25	Pulpileño - Real Murcia B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
01.05.25	Caravaca - Pulpileño	0:0
21.12.24	Pulpileño - Caravaca	0:0
28.04.24	Pulpileño - Caravaca	0:1
15.12.23	Caravaca - Pulpileño	0:1
12.03.23	Caravaca - Pulpileño	0:0
15.11.22	Pulpileño - Caravaca	2:2

Caravaca - Pulpileño: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide