Match Info
Catarinense 2 - Round 12Date: 28 June 2026, Sunday
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 |
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Caravaggio |
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Guarani de Palhoça |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.47 |
3.90 |
5.50 |
|
 |
1.45 |
3.85 |
5.30 |
|
 |
1.56 |
3.61 |
5.14 |
|
 |
1.48 |
4.15 |
5.75 |
 Watch |
 |
1.54 |
3.55 |
5.05 |
|
 |
1.59 |
3.86 |
5.14 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↓
(1.65) |
3.82 ↑
(3.2) |
5.31 ↑
(4.6) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Caravaggio
59.5% | Draw
23.6% | Guarani de Palhoça
17% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caravaggio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caravaggio's performance.Guarani de Palhoça has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caravaggio than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarani de Palhoça than the current prediction. (+0.5%)Caravaggio - Guarani de Palhoça Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 21', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 30', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 65', 0 - 3, ⚽,
- 80', 1 - 3, ⚽,
- 90+3', 2 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense and 8).Caravaggio is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Guarani de Palhoça has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). In this match, Caravaggio is the obvious favorite.We predict that Caravaggio will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Caravaggio won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).Including home match between the teams, Caravaggio won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
Standings
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | Caravaggio | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 47:20 | 27 | 35 |
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| 6 | Guarani de Palhoca | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 23 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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