Match Info

League One - Round 1

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Cardiff City Stadium (Cardiff)

Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Cardiff City		Peterborough United

	1	X	2
	1.73	4	4.33	Watch
	1.6	4.2	4.8
	1.72	3.95	4.25	Watch
	1.76	3.94	4.48
	1.63	3.96	4.90	Watch
	1.62	4	5
	1.67	4.1	4.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.48)	4.02 ↓ (4.22)	4.65 ↓ (6.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cardiff City
56.3%

Draw
23.5%

Peterborough United
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

22.2%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cardiff City's form might have worsened.

Peterborough United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Peterborough United's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Cardiff City - Peterborough United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Peterborough (3.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Cardiff City will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Peterborough (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Turner M. (G) 44. Kpakio R. 2. Fish W. 48. Lawlor D. 3. Bagan J. 11. Tanner O. 27. Colwill J. 6. Wintle R. 10. Colwill R. (C) 45. Ashford C. 22. Salech Y.	41. Bilokapic N. (G) 2. Johnston C. (C) 5. Wallin O. 26. Okagbue D. 23. Mills H. 4. Collins A. 8. Khela B. 10. Odoh A. 22. O'Brien-Brady D. 11. Frith D. 9. Ihionvein B.
Substitutes
21. Alnwick J. (G) 5. Daland J. 39. Davies I. 24. King E. 28. Mafico D. 47. Robinson C. 16. Willock C.	14. De Havilland R. 33. Dornelly J. 18. Hayes C. 19. Lindgren G. 17. Lisbie K. 15. Nevett G. 21. Reyes V. (G)
Coaches
Barry-Murphy B.	Ferguson D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', Lawlor D. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Ihionvein B. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 1 - 1, Colwill R. ⚽,
53', Tanner O. 🟨,
60', 2 - 1, Kpakio R. ⚽,
64', Lawlor D. ↓, Daland J. ↑,
67', Bagan J. 🟨,
73', Ihionvein B. ↓, Lindgren G. ↑,
73', O'Brien-Brady D. ↓, De Havilland R. ↑,
73', Frith D. ↓, Hayes C. ↑,
74', Wallin O. ↓, Nevett G. ↑,
77', Salech Y. ↓, Robinson C. ↑,
77', Ashford C. ↓, Willock C. ↑,
85', Mills H. 🟨,
89', Odoh A. ↓, Lisbie K. ↑,
90+1', Tanner O. ↓, Davies I. ↑,
90+2', Colwill J. ↓, King E. ↑,

Preview

In recent matches, Peterborough has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cardiff may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Peterborough has had a series of away games.

In this match, Cardiff is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Peterborough: Adebisi R. (Knee Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 2.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Cardiff won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cardiff City
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Notts County - Cardiff City	2:2 ✺
23.07.25	Queens Park Rangers - Cardiff City	2:2 ✺
12.07.25	Cardiff City - Southend United	3:0 ✺
09.07.25	Cardiff City - Johor Darul Takzim	2:2 ✺
English League Championship
03.05.25	Norwich City - Cardiff City	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TTWTL
- Peterborough United
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Grimsby Town - Peterborough United	3:2 ✺
25.07.25	Colchester United - Peterborough United	2:2 ✺
22.07.25	Milton Keynes Dons - Peterborough United	1:2 ✺
19.07.25	Boston United - Peterborough United	0:1 ✺
18.07.25	King`s Lynn Town - Peterborough United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
09.02.22	Cardiff City - Peterborough United	4:0
17.08.21	Peterborough United - Cardiff City	2:2
30.03.13	Peterborough United - Cardiff City	2:1
15.12.12	Cardiff City - Peterborough United	1:2
14.02.12	Cardiff City - Peterborough United	3:1

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