The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Milton Keynes Dons 47.5%
Draw 24.5%
Peterborough United 28%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.2%
22%
22.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.2%
22.4%
22.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Milton Keynes Dons's form might have worsened.
Peterborough United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Peterborough United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Milton Keynes Dons, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Peterborough United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Milton Keynes Dons - Peterborough United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Dennis W. (G) 2. Jones G. 5. Goode C. 35. Nelson C. 15. Bramall C. 24. Wintle R. 13. Paterson C. 7. Crowley D. 8. Gilbey A. (C) 10. Collins A. 9. Nombe S.
1. Bass A. (G) 33. Dornelly J. 12. Feeney J. 26. Okagbue D. 3. Weir E. 7. Jones H. 4. Kelly L. 16. Woods B. 19. Shofowoke B. 9. Leonard H. (C) 11. Edwards O.
Substitutes
4. Barlaser D. 20. Campbell E. 21. Ekpiteta M. 22. Fullah I. 29. Hepburn-Murphy R. 1. MacGillivray C. (G) 28. Matete J.
23. Andeng Ndi C. (G) 45. Ashfield H. 20. Conn-Clarke C. 8. Khela B. 14. Mills H. 27. Ormerod D. 10. Williams E.
Coaches
Warne P.
Williams L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Collins A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Jones H. ↓, Ashfield H. ↑,
51', Weir E. ↓, Mills H. ↑,
51', Woods B. ↓, Khela B. ↑,
57', Shofowoke B. ↓, Ormerod D. ↑,
60', Jones G. ↓, Ekpiteta M. ↑,
73', Crowley D. ↓, Matete J. ↑,
74', Collins A. ↓, Hepburn-Murphy R. ↑,
78', Kelly L. ↓, Conn-Clarke C. ↑,
80', Bramall C. 🟨,
85', 1 - 1, Conn-Clarke C. ⚽,
86', Gilbey A. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 0.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
MK Dons will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Peterborough: Adebisi R.
(Knee Injury)
Frith D.
(Inactive)
Garbett M.
(Muscle Injury)
Hughes S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
There are questionable in MK Dons: Hepburn-Murphy R.
(Inactive)
Wilson K.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Peterborough: Edwards O.
(Injury)
Johnston C.
(Inactive)
Masara V.
(Inactive)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 20:29. (average 1.3:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, MK Dons won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 1.3:1.9).
Outrights of English League One for now
Peterborough: 0.65%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
22
MK Dons
7
0
6
1
8:10
-2
6
23
Peterborough
8
1
2
5
4:13
-9
5
Last Results with these Odds
Milton Keynes Dons - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 55.22%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.