Match Info

Date: 25 September 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Victor Montoya Segura (Jaen)


	Carlos Stein		Carlos A. Mannucci

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	2.87
	2.4	3.1	2.6
	2.14	3.55	2.95
	2.15	3.6	2.8
	2.27	3.6	2.83
	2.1	3.4	3
	2.13	3.58	3.11	Watch
	2.22	3.7	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.52)	3.48 ↑ (3.12)	2.87 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlos Stein
41.7%

Draw
26.4%

Carlos A. Mannucci
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

29.4%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

29.1%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Stein has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carlos Stein's performance.

Carlos A. Mannucci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos Stein than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carlos Stein that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos A. Mannucci than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.8%	20.5%	22.7%

Carlos Stein - Carlos A. Mannucci Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Carlos Stein will win (votes: 25 - 56.8%). Mannucci will win (votes: 10 - 22.7%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 20.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carlos Stein: 42.2% – 71.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 and 16).

Carlos Stein has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Mannucci is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Carlos Stein could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Carlos Stein will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Carlos Stein won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Carlos Stein won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Carlos Stein
Peruvian Liga 1
18.09.22	Carlos Stein - Alianza Lima	1:2 ✺
09.09.22	Cajamarca - Carlos Stein	4:0 ✺
04.09.22	Carlos Stein - Sport Huancayo	0:1 ✺
21.08.22	Carlos Stein - FBC Melgar	0:2 ✺
13.08.22	Sporting Cristal - Carlos Stein	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Carlos A. Mannucci
Peruvian Liga 1
18.09.22	ADT Tarma - Carlos A. Mannucci	2:1 ✺
11.09.22	Carlos A. Mannucci - Escuela Municipal Binacional	2:1 ✺
03.09.22	Cienciano - Carlos A. Mannucci	2:0 ✺
27.08.22	Carlos A. Mannucci - Deportivo Municipal	1:1 ✺
21.08.22	Universidad César Vallejo - Carlos A. Mannucci	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
12.03.22	Carlos A. Mannucci - Carlos Stein	1:0
02.02.20	Carlos Stein - Carlos A. Mannucci	0:3

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