Match Info

Date: 18 September 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Victor Montoya Segura (Jaen)


	Carlos Stein		Alianza Lima

	1	X	2
	5	4.5	1.55
	5	3.75	1.61
	4.5	4	1.59
	4.97	3.82	1.71
	4.8	3.6	1.63
	4.88	3.82	1.66	Watch
	4.8	4.2	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.85 ↓ (5.01)	3.96 ↑ (3.45)	1.62 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlos Stein
19.1%

Draw
23.5%

Alianza Lima
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.3%

26.6%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.5%

25.5%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Stein has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Alianza Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos Stein than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Alianza Lima aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	13.6%	59.1%

Carlos Stein - Alianza Lima Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Carlos Stein will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%). Alianza Lima will win (votes: 13 - 59.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alianza Lima: 38.6% – 79.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Carlos Stein has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Alianza Lima is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Alianza Lima is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Alianza Lima to win the game is with odds 1.53.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Carlos Stein won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Carlos Stein won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Carlos Stein
Peruvian Liga 1
09.09.22	Cajamarca - Carlos Stein	4:0 ✺
04.09.22	Carlos Stein - Sport Huancayo	0:1 ✺
21.08.22	Carlos Stein - FBC Melgar	0:2 ✺
13.08.22	Sporting Cristal - Carlos Stein	3:2 ✺
31.07.22	Alianza Atlético - Carlos Stein	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Alianza Lima
Peruvian Liga 1
10.09.22	Alianza Lima - Cantolao	0:0 ✺
04.09.22	Alianza Lima - Universitario de Deportes	0:2 ✺
28.08.22	Cajamarca - Alianza Lima	1:1 ✺
21.08.22	Alianza Lima - Sport Huancayo	1:0 ✺
31.07.22	Sporting Cristal - Alianza Lima	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
01.05.22	Alianza Lima - Carlos Stein	5:2
26.09.20	Carlos Stein - Alianza Lima	0:2

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