Match Info

Date: 21 August 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Victor Montoya Segura (Jaen)


	Carlos Stein		FBC Melgar

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.33	1.5
	6	3.8	1.47
	5.6	4	1.5
	5.8	3.9	1.48
	6.29	4.25	1.52
	7	3.6	1.47
	6.2	3.84	1.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.2 ↓ (6.22)	3.96 ↓ (4.61)	1.5 ↑ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlos Stein
14.9%

Draw
23.3%

FBC Melgar
61.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15%

20.2%

64.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.9%

20%

65.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Stein has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Carlos Stein aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.6%	29.4%	52.9%

Carlos Stein - FBC Melgar Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Carlos Stein will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Melgar will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Melgar: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 and 6).

Carlos Stein is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Melgar in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Carlos Stein could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Melgar have a series of home games.

In this match Melgar is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Carlos Stein won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Carlos Stein
Peruvian Liga 1
13.08.22	Sporting Cristal - Carlos Stein	3:2 ✺
31.07.22	Alianza Atlético - Carlos Stein	2:1 ✺
27.07.22	Carlos Stein - Sport Boys	3:2 ✺
24.07.22	Universitario de Deportes - Carlos Stein	2:0 ✺
17.07.22	Carlos Stein - Ayacucho	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLWLT
- FBC Melgar
Peruvian Liga 1
15.08.22	FBC Melgar - Cantolao	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
11.08.22	Internacional RS - FBC Melgar	0:1 penalties ✺
04.08.22	FBC Melgar - Internacional RS	0:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
29.07.22	FBC Melgar - Cajamarca	1:0 ✺
23.07.22	FBC Melgar - Sport Huancayo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
02.04.22	FBC Melgar - Carlos Stein	3:0
27.08.20	FBC Melgar - Carlos Stein	0:2

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