Match Info

PERU: Liga 2 - Relegation Group - Round 3

Date: 22 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Estadio Victor Montoya Segura (Jaen)


	Carlos Stein		Moquegua

	1	X	2
	4.33	4	1.55
	4.18	4.01	1.58
	4.45	4.25	1.59	Watch
	3.9	3.9	1.65
	4.59	4.2	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.29 ↑ (4.1)	4.07 ↑ (3.88)	1.59 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlos Stein
21%

Draw
22.1%

Moquegua
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

23.6%

54.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8%

23.1%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Stein has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Moquegua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Stein than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moquegua than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Carlos Stein - Moquegua Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cruz J. (G) 15. Barco C. 25. Hilario J. 5. Loayza L. 27. Manco R. (C) 13. Merino J. 31. Murillo A. 20. Ramirez V. 24. Rivera O. 22. Sernaque C. 8. Zagaceta J.	29. Figueroa R. (G) 33. Alfageme A. 11. Centurion L. 90. Collazos J. 24. Correa M. 16. Davila A. 26. Flores C. 30. Granda J. (C) 13. Jimenez J. 23. Jimenez J. 25. Vasquez J.
Substitutes
10. Bogado Morinigo C. 3. Calle J. A. 26. Campos A. (G) 19. Castro M. 11. Chirinos A. 4. Paredes J. 14. Ruiz R. 23. Silva M. 6. Velarde J.	4. Cueva O. 22. Fano F. 3. Figueroa R. 17. Gastelu A. 7. Guerrero G. 28. Lovera P. 5. Ruiz Diaz T. 14. Tapia J. 1. Valladares G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', Centurion L. 🟨,
20', 0 - 1, Flores C. ⚽,
22', 0 - 2, Davila A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', 0 - 3, Vasquez J. ⚽,
56', 0 - 4, Jimenez J. ⚽,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

Carlos Stein has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

UCV is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match UCV is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Carlos Stein
Peruvian Liga 2
17.08.24	Universidad San Martín - Carlos Stein	1:0 ✺
12.08.24	Carlos Stein - Escuela Municipal Binacional	0:2 ✺
20.07.24	Carlos Stein - Deportivo Llacuabamba	1:8 ✺
14.07.24	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Carlos Stein	7:0 ✺
02.07.24	ADA Jaén - Carlos Stein	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Deportivo Moquegua
Peruvian Liga 2
18.08.24	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Moquegua	2:1 ✺
12.08.24	Moquegua - Universidad San Martín	1:1 ✺
21.07.24	Deportivo Coopsol - Moquegua	4:2 ✺
08.07.24	Moquegua - Cantolao	0:1 ✺
03.07.24	Ayacucho - Moquegua	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTLLT

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